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RememberTheApollo_ , in What do you think of this prediction?

Sucks being old.

Is it just prejudice? Stereotype? Laziness?

You see this happen to everything. It all gets enshittified. These corps that started out for the end user all end up selling out for profits.

It’s not a secret, not a revelation, nothing new.

Goodie , in What do you think of this prediction?

I kind of hope gaben has set up something smart for his death. Eg Valve is owned by a trust.

okmko , in What do you think of this prediction?

Can’t Gabe do what John Bogle did with Vanguard and transfer ownership to the employees and clients?

teawrecks , (edited ) in What do you think of this prediction?

I think this post massively overestimates the power a CEO has. The CEO is beholden to the shareholders. Valve is private, so and its shareholders are its workers. It would be useful to know how many shares Gaben has of valve, but I still don’t think the next CEO would suddenly also be the majority owner.

Also, I know things have changed a lot in the last 12 years, but 12 years ago regarding the total dissolution of Valve, Gaben said:

“It’s way more likely we would head in that direction than say, ‘Let’s find some giant company that wants to cash us out and wait two or three years to have our employment agreements terminate."

Also, forcing users onto windows is THE way to kill valve’s profits. The whole point of the Linux push was a direct response to the windows store, and msft’s threat of forcing valve to give them a cut of purchase through steam. Msft will still do that the first chance it gets. So even the most profit-minded new leader wouldn’t make that choice, as it’s plainly shortsighted.

ZILtoid1991 ,

Also Valve isn’t the charity they believe it is. It’s a de-facto monopoly, and it has serious moderation issues (basically if you bought enough games, they will less likely ban you for hatespeech and such).

Rossel ,

Valve isn’t pulling any anticompetitive moves though. They just try to secure profits by being the best instead of destroying everyone else that dares to compete with them.

sep ,

Beeing not assholes against their own users are basically anticompetitive these days. ;)

FreeFacts ,

Valve isn’t pulling any anticompetitive moves though.

Well, they are allegedly forcing price parity on publishers, so they can’t sell cheaper on their own website or some other storefront that takes smaller cuts. That’s anticompetitive as shit, and they are being sued over it.

Rossel ,

That parity thing was debunked 2 years ago when a similar lawsuit against Valve was dismissed, their parity thing is for resold Steam keys, which Valve issues with no profit margin. Milberg London are trolls that tried to do the same lawsuit against Sony and PlayStation last year. Also got nowhere.

Daxtron2 ,

They’re not a defacto monopoly? There’s many different ways to buy games online and valve does not have anti-consumer practices like exclusivity deals. I have not heard anything about them not banning for hate speech? Every time I’ve ever reported something its been taken down within 48hrs

DragonTypeWyvern ,

“Valve is private, so its shareholders are its workers.”

I don’t know who keeps telling you libs this, but they’re lying.

FlexibleToast ,

I don’t think that misunderstanding is limited to the libs.

DragonTypeWyvern ,

Sorry, I forgot about the useful idiot breed of fascist, compared to the “lies as a strategy” breed.

teawrecks ,

Oh whoops, I thought you were trying to be taken seriously. My bad.

FlexibleToast ,

They were so close…

DragonTypeWyvern ,

Your boos mean nothing, you don’t even know what a lib is either.

interdimensionalmeme ,

It is because of a limited understanding of companies in the startup phase. At some point, there is enough cash flow to buy labour outright rather than giving up capital on each hire. This allows shareholders to captute all future capital created by future wagies.

teawrecks ,

Sorry, the way i phrased that does sound causal. It should say “and”.

Any real lib knows, public or private, there’s no way out of our capitalist downfall.

TopRamenBinLaden ,

You are most definitely right that the major shareholders aren’t the workers. The major shareholders are Gabe Newell, and some bankers in Japan.

Still, it is known that Valve employees are partially compensated with stock for working in the company, so most of the employees are still shareholders. They just aren’t the major ones.

DragonTypeWyvern ,

Sure, but that’s not what makes it a private company.

TopRamenBinLaden ,

Ahh I get your point now, sorry I missed it. Yea, if people think that private company = employee shareholders, they are very wrong.

Sianna , (edited )

Employees are stakeholder, not necessarily shareholder. Management, likely. The grunts, I think not so much.

teawrecks ,

How are you differentiating stakeholder and shareholder? The employees are certainly shareholders.

Valve doesn’t really hire “grunts”. The people who are actually considered employees of valve are very few and highly skilled. The number of Wikipedia from 2016 is very out of date and estimates 360. But valve’s LinkedIn still says “over 300”.

ben_dover ,

there are common definitions for both terms. the employees aren’t shareholders as long as they don’t own a part of the company, but they are stakeholders since they have something to do with the company. their partners, publishers, etc. are stakeholders too

teawrecks ,

Yes, I was making sure that was the distinction you were making, because I’m trying to disambiguate for you: the employees of valve are both shareholders and stakeholders.

BaldManGoomba ,

Shareholders is the owners and since they are private we don’t know who they are. Right now it could be all Gaben or it could be a mix but Gaben is majority resulting in the culture is what he wants. Private companies don’t have to be maximizing profits focused but will die if they don’t make money. When people die it is whoever inherits or has majority share that pushes what happens.

teawrecks ,

I had briefly searched to see if it was known how much ownership Gaben had. Did you find it somewhere, or are you just assuming he’s majority?

I do know the employees are compensated in shares of the company, but you’re right that I don’t know what proportion is owned by employees.

BaldManGoomba ,

Below is what I can find it isn’t well sourced but ownership isn’t the same as shares. You can have profits shares without having any ownership stake.

Valve Corporation, the American video game developer and digital distributor company, is a private company with a secretive ownership structure. Gabe Newell, the company’s co-founder and CEO, is the majority shareholder, and his ownership stake is estimated to be over 50%. Other investors include Valve executives and employees, as well as major shareholders such as The Custody Bank of Japan, Ltd. and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation. Wikipedia Valve Corporation - Wikipedia Founders. Gabe Newell. Mike Harrington. Headquarters. Bellevue, Washington. , US. Key people. Gabe Newell (president) Scott Lynch (COO) Products. show. Video games. show. Hardware. show. Software. Total equity. US$10 billion (2019) Owner. Gabe Newell (>50%) Number of employees. ~360 (2016) Subsidiaries. Valve S.a.r.l. Valve GmbH. Campo Santo. ASN. 32590. Website. valvesoftware.com. Valve was founded in 1996 by the former Microsoft employees Gabe Newell and Mike Harrington. Their debut game, the first-person shooter (FPS) Half-Life (1998), was a critical and commercial success and had a lasting influence on the FPS genre. Harrington left in 2000. namria.gov.ph Which company owns Valve May 28, 2024 — Valve is a private company with a secretive ownership structure. Its investors include cofounder Gabe Newell and Valve executives and employees… In 2003, Valve moved to Bellevue, Washington, and reincorporated as Valve Corporation. namria.gov.ph How much of valve does Gabe own - NAMRIA May 24, 2024 — Valve is owned (mostly) owned by it’s CEO, Gabe Newell, one of the founders of the company. The only real connection with Tencent is their . Newell’s ownership stake isn’t disclosed and he’s attributed 50.1% of Valve in this analysis to reflect his control of the company and status as co-founder… NAMRIA Who is the majority shareholder of Valve - NAMRIA May 25, 2024 — Gabe Newell has led Valve Corp., which develops video games, since he cofounded it in 1998 with former Microsoft colleague Mike Harrington… Over the years, the ownership of Valve Corporation and Steam has remained primarily with the founders and major investors. Gabe Newell . Major Shareholders (Top 10) ; The Custody Bank of Japan, Ltd. 2,596, 2.88 ; Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, 2,553, 2.83 ; KITZ Corporation Employee Stock .” Valve ostentatiously makes little use of direct authority. majority shareholder, Gabe Newell) is used At the same time, contextual .

Valve Corporation is an American video game developer and digital distributor company in Bellevue, Washington. It was started in 1996 by Gabe Newell and Mike Harrington, two Microsoft employees in the past. steam.fandom.com Gabe Newell | SteamWiki | Fandom Gabe Newell, known online as Gaben, is the co-founder and majority shareholder of Valve Corporation. He attended Harvard University, but dropped out and worked at Microsoft until 1996, where he and co-worker Mike Harrington left to found Valve. Newell and former Microsoft colleague Mike Harrington founded Valve in 1996. Their first game, Half-Life, was released in 1998 and was a critical and commercial success. Harrington left the company in 2000, and Valve moved to Bellevue, Washington and reincorporated as Valve Corporation in 2003.

teawrecks ,

Highly recommend putting that in a quote and giving a source rather than copy pasting a wall in plain text. For all I know you just asked ChatGPT and this is what it spat out.

And in this context, just the part about Gabe being majority shareholder would have sufficed.

thawed_caveman , in What do you think of this prediction?

The life expectancy of 75 is an average (of the US population i assume), billionaires are likely to live longer

theonyltruemupf ,

75 years of nation-wide life expectancy is also likely to include early deaths due to accidents, cancer and such. People who die of “old age” typically do later than 75.

driving_crooner ,
@driving_crooner@lemmy.eco.br avatar

When people talks about life expectancy 99.99% of the time they mean life expectancy at birth, at every year the life expectancy change. Using this life table someone with 61 years, have a life expectancy of 19.7 years, that means he’s expected to live until he’s 80.

grue ,

Yep, and that was true even going all the way back through history. People weren’t routinely dying in their 30s or whatever before modern medicine; it’s just that a lot more of them were dying in infancy/early childhood and that brought down the average. (That’s the situation anti-vaxxers are trying to go back to, BTW.)

etchinghillside ,

I would say it’s appropriate to loop cancer deaths into the “old age” bucket – DNA getting old and making mistakes replicating seems relevant.

xantoxis ,

Fit billionaires do. What happens to gaben’s heart and arteries are anyone’s guess. He is getting healthier but you can’t undo damage completely.

Rolder ,

Plus Gaben has been doing some serious work on his health recently so the fat part no longer applies.

474D ,

Gaben is not exactly an inspiring portrait of health…

TopRamenBinLaden ,

The latest pictures of him look good, though. The man has definitely lost some weight.

https://sh.itjust.works/pictrs/image/c1f48695-91bd-447d-a5d2-1a3d6936f78e.jpeg

HobbitFoot , in What do you think of this prediction?

It is funny that people think Valve would sell out instead of becoming the big evil.

As Valve continues developing an OS agnostic platform, they start building into various tools that require a Steam account to play games in order to defend their app store. Maybe they buy Unity and make it a Steam exclusive, maybe they make their own engine that can be played on Windows or Linux.

Integrate Chromecast technology to make a console like multimedia device to compete against XBox and PlayStation. Then, start selling video and integrating streaming access.

Push the Steam Store to become bigger. Sure, you aren’t forced to use the Steam Store on most Valve developed hardware, but it is default.

Then, like Google did with Android, pull the tech stack from the open source tools to become wholely integrated with Steam Services.

zaphodb2002 ,

Most of this already exists and they haven’t taken that tack, though. SteamOS is just Arch and KDE, with access to anything Arch has access to. If you don’t like that, Valve made it trivial to put another OS on the Deck, like Bazzite.

Steam Play is already a streaming technology, which works great and is free to use and has been for like at least a decade.

Steam Store is already gigantic, despite having some well funded competition who has to resort to exclusives and free game giveaways to entice users. It’s already the de facto default game store for PC, and provides lots of extra features beyond just game delivery.

Most of the technology Steam uses (like Proton or GameScope or Arch) are open-source. We can (and do) fork their work for our own purposes regularly.

I don’t think Valve is perfect, but I do think they value their open approach to technology. I think as long as the company is never publicly traded, I would imagine anyone who currently works at Valve would share that attitude with GabeN, otherwise I imagine they wouldn’t work there long.

If they go public and have to report to shareholders, then I completely agree that the enshittification will be swift and merciless. I hope Gabe makes Valve an employee-owned co-op or something when he decides to retire. I can only imagine he has strong plans for the transition of power.

HobbitFoot ,

I’m commenting more on how Valve could become evil while maintaining and expanding its markets. Part of that is using open source as a way to reduce development costs while still controlling and monetizing key parts of the tech stack.

daltotron ,

You know, as long as their management structure stays relatively similar to what it is, I think I’d be more fine with them being the big evil, compared to basically anyone else.

Edit: and also as long as they stay a private company, that would also be a big concern, but I guess that’s maybe the same as saying their management structure stays the same

proceduralnightshade , in What do you think of this prediction?

Yeah I do have a similar fear. Valve is something special. I tried to hate them, they’re filthy-rich corpos after all, but I can’t. Something of value will be lost when Valve finally succumbs to enshittification, which cannot be said of a lot of other big companies.

But my fear isn’t necessarily about Steam. I have like 20-30 games in my library. Steam is simply the least shit way to play games you have/want to pay for.

interdimensionalmeme ,

I love valve, I have 1000+ games in my library. I also have every crack for every game I could fine. For the rest, I have live virtual machine snapshot of the running game. Of course anythibg live service will not work without a server simulator. To do that we need to, for each games, using wireshark, record all server and peer traffic while also saving all privaye encryptions keys used in the session.

Once games start using TPM processor, they will become uncrackable. Make sure to use a compromised TPM in that case.

TheHobbyist , in What do you think of this prediction?

I think there are important considerations to keep in mind.

First and foremost, Valve is not a public company. I don’t know if it has investors, but it is not driven by profits like many typical public companies are. These companies tend to allow themselves longer investments without any clear visibility of immediate profits. They also do things for the greater good, even though it does not bring profits.

But also, I think the whole of valve is a set of gamers and people who genuinely care about the gaming business and making great products. I think they all share Gabe’s values and goals. It’s not like Gabe is the only one holding everything together or else it would instantly crash into the profit driven company it could be.

Both of these scenarios keep me hopeful that this is a longer lasting stance and doesn’t hinge on just one person. It’s not a proof it will never be a typical profit company but these are barriers which are not typically present. Let’s hope for the best and keep rewarding them for their contributions to gaming, open source and for their good actions.

bolexforsoup ,

I don’t understand where this myth came from that if a company is a public that they aren’t potentially ruthlessly profit driven.

Valve is not special. Gabe is to a certain degree (though I would also caution people from deifying anybody period). We can never take for granted that the valve and steam experience we largely enjoy today will be there tomorrow. That’s a simple fact.

Shiggles ,

It’s not that they can’t still be profit driven, it’s that they can’t be sued by investors for not being ruthlessly profit driven. Private just means that they have the choice at all

Crismus ,

In the US, there are multiple Supreme Court precedent cases that force profit-maximizing. Shareholders can sue the CEO and board to maximize profit seeking.

So yes, increasing shareholder value is enshrined in US law. Only private corporations can get around that rule. Also, a corporation cannot be forced to break the law to maximize profits, that’s just something most CEO’s are willing to do for fun.

bolexforsoup , (edited )

I didn’t say people don’t redline publicly traded companies. I’m saying not being public doesn’t mean leadership won’t. I’ve personally seen it plenty of times.

Also, “fiduciary duty” (the “Supreme Court cases” I’m assuming you’re vaguely referring to) does not mean a CEO needs to always slam the gas at all times to maximize every single red cent at the cost of all medium and longterm considerations. This is a commonly parroted assertion by people online without a basis. “Fiduciary duty” and other obligations to the shareholders simply mean they can’t make obviously bad decisions that will hurt the shareholders. They don’t get hauled off by the Investor Police if they make a single longterm decision at the expense of a little short term profit.

All of this isn’t to say we don’t see it happen all the time anyway. But if it was so strict we’d see more CEO’s hauled off, not golden parachutes everywhere as they break their companies apart.

missphant ,
@missphant@lemmy.blahaj.zone avatar

I think your original comment has a typo on “isn’t”, hence the confusion.

if a company is a public that they aren’t potentially ruthlessly profit driven.

gandalf_der_12te ,

So yes, increasing shareholder value is enshrined in US law. Only private corporations can get around that rule.

This is true, with one exception.

There are non-profit corporations. They have to declare that they are non-profit at the time of foundation, though. They have to write that in the statute (idk what it’s called in English, it’s “Satzung” in German).

audiomodder ,

Publicly traded companies are, by law, driven to make as much money as possible for shareholders. Privately held companies are not held to this same limitation. So while a company like Valve could be highly profit-driven (let’s be honest, all for-profit companies in a capitalist system are driven by this motivation), it doesn’t seem to be driven to maximize profits in the short term. This means that they can focus on things other than profit if they so choose.

blindsight ,

There is a common belief that corporate directors have a legal duty to maximize corporate profits and “shareholder value” even if this means skirting ethical rules, damaging the environment or harming employees. But this belief is utterly false. To quote the U.S. Supreme Court opinion in the recent Hobby Lobby case: “Modern corporate law does not require for-profit corporations to pursue profit at the expense of everything else, and many do not.”

– Lynn Stout, professor of corporate and business law, Cornell University

wizardbeard ,

For-profit vs. Non-profit is an entirely different distinction under US law, with specific legal definitions for each. This is entirely separate under US law from publicly traded vs. privately owned, which has separate specific legal definitions.

Valve is a for-profit privately owned company. That is what allows it to not maximize shareholder value, and is the unstated distinction that allows your quote to be true.

For-profit publicly traded companies do have a legal responsibility for such.

blindsight ,

I don’t want to quote dump multiple paragraphs, but Stout explicitly explains that’s not correct in the following paragraphs, citing relevant case law where appropriate.

I’m not a lawyer, but that article reads pretty clearly to me; I’d be interested to hear if you read it and get a different interpretation.

Eylrid ,

More important than who works there is who inherits Gabe’s ownership of the company. A new owner can completely change a company and drive out or fire anyone who doesn’t go along with the new direction. Look at what happened with twitter when Musk took over. Or his inheritors could take Valve public and introduce all the issues with that.

Yondoza ,

It would be so awesome if they went employee owned. I get the impression the employees are people who are passionate about video games. I feel that they would choose leadership that is both good for the community and good for the long-term health of the company.

prunerye , in What do you think of this prediction?

This is silly. Valve is already a profit driven company. You don’t see the walled garden? The DRM? Valve supports proton because it’s in their monetary interest to do so.

brb ,

How is it walled garden when you can add any non-steam game to your library?

MSugarhill , (edited )
@MSugarhill@discuss.tchncs.de avatar

I have seriously no idea, but can you take them out easily? If not, it’s a walled garden.

prunerye ,

You’re thinking in reverse. Walled gardens keep you in, not out. Without logging into your Steam account (pretending you don’t have one), try to download a mod for a game you bought on GOG and see how it goes for you.

SuddenDownpour ,

There’s “profit-driven” and “seeking exclusively the profits of the next quarter”. While capitalism has a lot of downsides in the long run, the vast majority of bullshit people get outraged about is due to publicly traded companies being organized in such a way that their CEOs and shareholders sacrifice all sustainability and instead try to loot your kitchen.

Whatever Steam policies you think are bullshit right now (and I can name a couple more, too), they’re not too much in comparison to what they’d be under more typical management.

BuckenBerry , (edited )
@BuckenBerry@lemmy.world avatar

Since it’s not publicly owned it doesn’t have to focus on quarterly profits.

If it gets sold to Microsoft they’re probably going to start stripping it down to please investors and get rid banking on how most people will be too lazy to leave it. We’ve seen the same thing happen with reddit and twitter. I’m pretty sure enshittification is inevitable.

pivot_root ,

Capitalism bad. Support Epic Games instead. /s

Prunebutt , in What do you think of this prediction?

Considering how much money they make with gambling, I think Valve is not as saint-like as people think it is.

People make Games has done two great videos on Valve

wonderfulvoltaire ,
@wonderfulvoltaire@lemmy.world avatar

They’re getting sued often because they’re greedy sloths suffering the ego trip just like epic did when Fortnite was on the top of the world second only to Minecraft of course.

slumlordthanatos ,

They’re far from perfect, I’d be the first person to tell you.

But they’re still light-years ahead of anyone else, because they’re perfectly happy just making tons of money instead of trying to squeeze every last cent out of the storefront at our expense.

Nioxic , in What do you think of this prediction?

He has 2 sons

maybe they can take over - and not fuck it up (they literally have to do nothing to achieve success!)

rickyrigatoni ,

Can’t even count to three when it comes to sons either.

CaptKoala ,

Valve is numerically challenged.

Imgonnatrythis , in What do you think of this prediction?

If you don’t expect enshitification these days you are dumb. Very rational fear

ipkpjersi , in What do you think of this prediction?

Gabe is helping, sure, but he isn’t holding up gaming. People were gaming on Linux before Proton even existed, myself included. Also, even if Valve went away completely, Proton is open-source and there are people like GloriousEggroll who work on Proton entirely as a community member. Proton will live on, specifically because it is open-source. All the progress made on Proton won’t suddenly disappear, all the games that were previously playable on Proton will still be playable on Proton.

It’s a somewhat reasonable fear but it’s not a realistic fear. Proton isn’t going anywhere.

RandomLegend ,
@RandomLegend@lemmy.dbzer0.com avatar

Additionally, if Steam would start to morph into what is posted here, it would simply be integrated into Heroic and / or lutris just as Epic is right now. There would be no need to actually launch steam anymore but just use it as a background service to pipe your games into something else.

grue ,

Proton will live on, specifically because it is open-source.

Don’t just thank open source; thank copyleft for the fact that Valve couldn’t make a closed-source fork of it even if it wanted to.

kuberoot ,

Even if they want to open-source it, an issue is the amount of work of organizing the repository, making sure it’s properly organized and doesn’t have any files they don’t want to distribute, and then maintaining that with future versions.

grue ,

What? Proton (i.e., WINE) has been LGPL Free Software since before Valve even touched it.

kuberoot ,

Sorry, what I mean is, if Valve wasn’t forced to keep it opensource, I think a big factor against would be the extra work

Redredme , in What do you think of this prediction?

PC gaming is not here to stay. One day, someone, will finally do a cloud /saas streaming solution which works, which solves the latency and fidelity issues and which will be accepted and trusted by the masses.

Hopefully that will be a Valve solution. Not Nvidia, MS, Google or Sony.

From that moment on the client will not matter anymore and you will just stream it to your device and from there cast it to your big screen.

Hopefully I’m full of shit and this will never happen. But I’m afraid I’m not.

coaxil ,

Unless you change physics the latency will never be solved.

TonyTonyChopper ,

Simply build a gaming server farm in the middle of every small town in the world

wizardbeard ,

Do like Netflix and start putting hardware in every datacenter and at backbone split point you possibly can.

Jako301 ,

Latency is a non issue if you make the service even remotely decentralised. One server per EU country is enough to push the latency below 50ms, which is more than playable, even for shooters and MOBAs.

coaxil ,

Still to much of you want to be decently competitive in a shooter.

pivot_root ,

50ms of latency in a first-person perspective. That’s a great way to exclude people with motion sickness from playing games.

FrostyCaveman ,

Speed of light says no

TonyTonyChopper ,

Fiber internet was invented around the 80s. I only got fiber installed at my house a month ago. Most homes around here still have expensive low bandwidth cable. For cloud gaming to actually work you would need to upgrade the world’s internet infrastructure to an incredible degree. This article highlights the issue (in the US, one of the most developed countries)

cnet.com/…/streaming-video-barriers-broadband-ine…

dustyData ,

Yes, I also believe in invisible pink unicorns. You’ll get to see one soon, I promise.

aberrate_junior_beatnik , in What do you think of this prediction?

A billionaire who is 61 is very likely to outlive 75, even if they’re fat.

Blisterexe ,

He actually lost a bunch of weight recently

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