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Ghostalmedia , (edited )
@Ghostalmedia@lemmy.world avatar

His older model at 538 has things tighter with the coin toss slightly weighted toward Harris.

…fivethirtyeight.com/trump-harris-2024-election-m…

Whether it’s 55/45 or 65/35, we’re still basically talking about the same thing. This race is neck and neck, and whoever gets the turnout edge will win. We’re talking about fractions of percents that are at play, which is why these odd are a coin toss.

Edit: it looks like 538’s model is new, and Silver doesn’t like it or the guy behind it.

natesilver.net/…/why-i-dont-buy-538s-new-election

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