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ironhydroxide ,

The only certain thing is nobody knows who will be elected until after the polls close and counting is certified.

VOTE. Everyone vote as if yours is the only one that matters, because it may be.

kmartburrito ,

100% agree. Polls also don’t really account for voter suppression tactics, or gerrymandering and other GOP fuckery, so absolutely vote because our democracy is literally at stake here.

Our future generations will be impacted by the outcome of this specific election.

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

To be fair, your vote statistically doesn’t matter in some states. I’ll make a bet with somebody that if I don’t vote in my state it won’t change anything.

Dems really phoned this one in.

ripcord ,
@ripcord@lemmy.world avatar

There’s plenty of downticket races that potentially directly affect your life more that matter.

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

This article is about Harris vs Trump

ripcord ,
@ripcord@lemmy.world avatar

“Derp”, you say?

proudblond ,

Federal, maybe, but it’s still important to vote for down ticket races, and your presidential vote can at least be a statistic toward the popular vote count. I get what you mean though, I’m from a consistently blue state.

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

Sure. The article is about Harris vs Trump tho

rayyy ,

I don’t vote in my state it won’t change anything

Wrong, wrong and wrong.
Your vote matters down-ballot. Your vote matters for a mandate. Your vote matters because you will pay attention. The trick is to get people to feel the way you do so they can rule you.

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

You wanna make a bet? If I don’t vote, my state will still vote Harris.

The trick is actually to trick people like you into thinking they have control when they actually don’t.

Socsa ,

Mmm farts

proudblond ,

I tend to wonder how these polls are conducted and who is answering them? Does anyone get polls via email or text? Are they still just calling people? I’m in my 40s and basically no one I know my age or younger answers numbers they don’t know anymore, and texts are ignored or flat out blocked because if you respond, they barrage you later, or at least that’s what we all assume.

So I’m not convinced polls have any bearing on what will happen anymore. VOTE!

Natanael ,

Yes

Different polls with different methods.

Many call people, some online polls (using advertising with demographic targeting), some emails to various news list subscribers, some in person polling, etc. It’s definitely harder these days to get accurate numbers because fewer responders means self imposed selection bias by those answering, which can correlate to the answers you get in unpredictable ways.

xmunk ,

That is an uncomfortably close margin but it’s good to see she’s leading now at least.

AbidanYre ,

It’s only been like one day.

Empricorn ,

Yeah, and it’s great to see Trump’s standing reversed in that one day!

UnderpantsWeevil ,
@UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world avatar

Better 2-pts up with Harris than 3-pts down with Biden. I like the direction those polls are swinging, even if I wouldn’t put money on an outcome.

cheers_queers ,

it’s honestly blowing my mind.

cabron_offsets ,

Bruh, momentum.

rayyy ,

Wait until the convention - momentum and thunder.

paddirn ,

Other polls I had seen just yesterday (likely collected before Biden dropping out was a reality) still had Trump with a 1% or more lead over Harris, so they’re really all over the place and I wouldn’t trust them for much, even up to and including election day. I’m not breathing a sigh of relief until victory is declared, and even then, I wouldn’t be so sure.

Irremarkable ,
@Irremarkable@fedia.io avatar

Agreed, but I will say that I feel at least a bit less panicked.

Diplomjodler3 ,

This is a swing and she’s only beginning to build momentum. Let’s hope things keep moving in the right direction.

Ensign_Crab ,

Biden’s our best bet, they said.

Everyone else polls worse, they said.

They were and remain full of shit.

timewarp ,
@timewarp@lemmy.world avatar

This. You can’t forget what their plan was. They changed course somewhat, but Kamala is the never-Trump candidate. I expect her to do better than Biden, but they are still full of shit.

snooggums ,
@snooggums@midwest.social avatar

I said Biden was our best bet and am happy to be proven wrong.

Mastengwe ,

Most of us have told you tons of fucking times that we didn’t care who they ran, we were voting AGAINST Trump, not FOR Biden.

Why do always make shit up? Are you THAT desperate to be right about anything?

Well, maybe your aren’t right about something, but you finally got your way- we’re not voting for Biden now.

Only, we’re not not voting. So…. I guess you don’t really get your way. Do you?

SteveFromMySpace ,

Don’t feed the troll

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