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samus12345 , to world in World registers hottest day ever recorded on July 21, monitor says
@samus12345@lemmy.world avatar
Supermikea ,

No text required lmao

samus12345 ,
@samus12345@lemmy.world avatar

Nope, everyone knows that one!

Ensign_Crab , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

Biden’s our best bet, they said.

Everyone else polls worse, they said.

They were and remain full of shit.

timewarp ,
@timewarp@lemmy.world avatar

This. You can’t forget what their plan was. They changed course somewhat, but Kamala is the never-Trump candidate. I expect her to do better than Biden, but they are still full of shit.

snooggums ,
@snooggums@midwest.social avatar

I said Biden was our best bet and am happy to be proven wrong.

Mastengwe ,

Most of us have told you tons of fucking times that we didn’t care who they ran, we were voting AGAINST Trump, not FOR Biden.

Why do always make shit up? Are you THAT desperate to be right about anything?

Well, maybe your aren’t right about something, but you finally got your way- we’re not voting for Biden now.

Only, we’re not not voting. So…. I guess you don’t really get your way. Do you?

Ensign_Crab ,

Most of us have told you tons of fucking times that we didn’t care who they ran, we were voting AGAINST Trump, not FOR Biden.

And now that you have the opportunity to vote for someone who can actually beat Trump, you’re angry.

Why do always make shit up?

If you haven’t noticed people on lemmy who were insisting that it had to be Biden because no one else could exceed his polling, you haven’t been on lemmy for a while.

Only, we’re not not voting. So…. I guess you don’t really get your way. Do you?

Check my comment history. I’m overjoyed that we have a better candidate now. Seems like the party is with me.

Of course, you’re not. Try to avoid the urge to write in Bidenyahu.

Mastengwe ,

This is why no one takes you seriously here.

Ensign_Crab ,

The party listened to people like me who wanted Biden to step down. They ignored the calls to maintain an untenable status quo from people who swore there would be chaos immediately upon Biden quitting the race.

The results speak for themselves. There’s genuine excitement behind Harris that wasn’t there for Biden. There’s hope again.

Mastengwe ,

ROFL! You think YOU did that? Hilarious!

Ensign_Crab ,

I said people like me. In case you missed it, people who wanted Biden to step down were abundant.

We were also right, as events have indicated.

Mastengwe ,

You think people like you did that?

Ensign_Crab ,

I think, like I said, that the party listened to people who wanted Biden to step aside.

Are you going to start doing something other than attacking me for being right about Biden?

Mastengwe ,

Dude…. You constantly create strawmen arguments out of what people say to you- then attack the false narrative you’ve made. Maybe i and everyone else that’s tired of your bullshit attack you for having suggested we support genocide just because we were trying to avoid Trump.

Additionally, Biden stepping down doesn’t make you right about anything you accused him of.

Ensign_Crab ,

What happened after Biden stepped down indicates that I was right about him stepping down.

I’m glad he stepped down. You clearly aren’t.

You can no longer pretend that my opposition to the Bidenyahu genocide is because I want Trump to win, because we have a better, less genocidey candidate now. A candidate you didn’t want.

fine_sandy_bottom ,

Who cares.

xmunk , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

That is an uncomfortably close margin but it’s good to see she’s leading now at least.

AbidanYre ,

It’s only been like one day.

Empricorn ,

Yeah, and it’s great to see Trump’s standing reversed in that one day!

UnderpantsWeevil ,
@UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world avatar

Better 2-pts up with Harris than 3-pts down with Biden. I like the direction those polls are swinging, even if I wouldn’t put money on an outcome.

cheers_queers ,

it’s honestly blowing my mind.

cabron_offsets ,

Bruh, momentum.

rayyy ,

Wait until the convention - momentum and thunder.

paddirn ,

Other polls I had seen just yesterday (likely collected before Biden dropping out was a reality) still had Trump with a 1% or more lead over Harris, so they’re really all over the place and I wouldn’t trust them for much, even up to and including election day. I’m not breathing a sigh of relief until victory is declared, and even then, I wouldn’t be so sure.

Irremarkable ,
@Irremarkable@fedia.io avatar

Agreed, but I will say that I feel at least a bit less panicked.

Diplomjodler3 ,

This is a swing and she’s only beginning to build momentum. Let’s hope things keep moving in the right direction.

rambling_lunatic ,

According to the article it’s within the margin of error, so Trump may have more votes.

ironhydroxide , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

The only certain thing is nobody knows who will be elected until after the polls close and counting is certified.

VOTE. Everyone vote as if yours is the only one that matters, because it may be.

kmartburrito ,

100% agree. Polls also don’t really account for voter suppression tactics, or gerrymandering and other GOP fuckery, so absolutely vote because our democracy is literally at stake here.

Our future generations will be impacted by the outcome of this specific election.

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

To be fair, your vote statistically doesn’t matter in some states. I’ll make a bet with somebody that if I don’t vote in my state it won’t change anything.

Dems really phoned this one in.

ripcord ,
@ripcord@lemmy.world avatar

There’s plenty of downticket races that potentially directly affect your life more that matter.

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

This article is about Harris vs Trump

ripcord ,
@ripcord@lemmy.world avatar

“Derp”, you say?

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

So, willful ignorance. You must be fun to be friends with.

ripcord ,
@ripcord@lemmy.world avatar

Derp derp. Derp derp derp.

Yes, very.

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

Parents need to have more control over what their kids are seeing and doing on the internet.

ripcord ,
@ripcord@lemmy.world avatar

True, I probably wouldn’t mind if they read things like this thread, though.

I’d give pause letting them read some of your comments, though.

venusaur , (edited )
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

You’re making me feel like I’m back on Reddit

ripcord ,
@ripcord@lemmy.world avatar

Sorry to hear that.

However, my replies gave your comments exactly the amount of respect they deserved.

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

A wild Asshole appears

ripcord ,
@ripcord@lemmy.world avatar

Ok

proudblond ,

Federal, maybe, but it’s still important to vote for down ticket races, and your presidential vote can at least be a statistic toward the popular vote count. I get what you mean though, I’m from a consistently blue state.

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

Sure. The article is about Harris vs Trump tho

rayyy ,

I don’t vote in my state it won’t change anything

Wrong, wrong and wrong.
Your vote matters down-ballot. Your vote matters for a mandate. Your vote matters because you will pay attention. The trick is to get people to feel the way you do so they can rule you.

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

You wanna make a bet? If I don’t vote, my state will still vote Harris.

The trick is actually to trick people like you into thinking they have control when they actually don’t.

Socsa ,

Mmm farts

venusaur ,
@venusaur@lemmy.world avatar

💨

SeriousMite ,

I would argue that even if your state is guaranteed to go one way or the other (aside from down ballot races which are obviously very important) there’s still value in voting for president, if only to illustrate the discrepancy between the popular vote and the electoral college. The higher we run up the margins, the more it makes it obvious to everyone that we need to ditch the electoral college.

proudblond ,

I tend to wonder how these polls are conducted and who is answering them? Does anyone get polls via email or text? Are they still just calling people? I’m in my 40s and basically no one I know my age or younger answers numbers they don’t know anymore, and texts are ignored or flat out blocked because if you respond, they barrage you later, or at least that’s what we all assume.

So I’m not convinced polls have any bearing on what will happen anymore. VOTE!

Natanael ,

Yes

Different polls with different methods.

Many call people, some online polls (using advertising with demographic targeting), some emails to various news list subscribers, some in person polling, etc. It’s definitely harder these days to get accurate numbers because fewer responders means self imposed selection bias by those answering, which can correlate to the answers you get in unpredictable ways.

snooggums , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
@snooggums@midwest.social avatar

Popularity or percentage of electoral college votes?

Only one of the two matter.

Stovetop ,

Popularity I’m afraid.

Other polls that factor in additional considerations essentially have them neck-and-neck right now, maybe a 1 or 2% lead for Trump.

Fucking electoral college…

Buelldozer ,
@Buelldozer@lemmy.today avatar

The HoR needs more members, that would solve it without touching the EC.

VanillaBean ,

Yeah this is always the thing people forget… we have this antiquated electoral college thing.

Zipitydew ,

Yeah I want to know specifically about say Ohio, Wisconsin, Arizona, etc. I know Harris will win all along the coasts. But that’s only 175 of 270.

Mastengwe , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

Polls are garbage. Vote like they don’t exist.

blaue_Fledermaus ,
@blaue_Fledermaus@mstdn.io avatar

If I ever get into politics I'm running on abolishing vote intention polls.

lolcatnip ,

How do you do that without violating the first amendment?

blaue_Fledermaus ,
@blaue_Fledermaus@mstdn.io avatar

By not being USian, or living in the USA?

My country only protects free-speech as long as it's not anonymous.

lolcatnip ,

I usually didn’t assume people’s nationality, but I thought it was pretty safe in a thread about US politics.

blaue_Fledermaus ,
@blaue_Fledermaus@mstdn.io avatar

No problem 😁

Unfortunately US politics sort of affect the whole world.

lolcatnip ,

Unfortunately.

Samvega ,

Vote like idiot rule the world, and try to make their day worse.

EatATaco ,

Polls were historically accurate in 2022 and generally do a good job of measuring the temperature. Still, vote like they don’t exist.

jballs ,
@jballs@sh.itjust.works avatar

Exactly. If polls didn’t matter, Biden would still be running for president. With that being said: vote.

UnderpantsWeevil ,
@UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world avatar

Polls are garbage.

The mainstream professional polls have been reliable for some time. They typically get within 2-3pt margin of error when taken a few days before the election, and they serve as a useful bellweather to track public sentiment. In this case, it appears jettisoning Biden is bringing voters back to the Dem fold. That’s what Dems were banking on, and I’d consider it a good thing given how much I don’t want Trump to be President.

Vote like they don’t exist.

People who obsessively follow polling are the ones most likely to vote.

Xanis ,

Stepping aside may honestly be the single greatest show of leadership Biden has done in his lifetime. If the polls are swinging, it’s as much due to him making such a historical and respectable move as it is people surprised and refreshed by Kamala Harris.

Nougat , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

Harris, whose campaign says she has secured the Democratic nomination, led Trump 44% to 42% in the national poll, a difference within the 3-percentage-point margin of error.

National polls go beyond meaninglessness and into actual harm. The national popular vote does not elect the president, as we all should know too well. My vote in Illinois is worth far less than someone's vote in Wyoming. Your vote in California is worth far less than someone's vote in Alaska.

Unless a national poll weights responses based on state, and based on the electoral college results from states, it is completely misleading.

Moops ,

And my vote in Oklahoma…oh fuck it who are we kidding lol. Meaningless. I still do it though.

Irremarkable ,
@Irremarkable@fedia.io avatar

In a similar situation. Theres a zero percent chance trump doesn't win my state by at least 10 points. Still gonna vote though.

samus12345 ,
@samus12345@lemmy.world avatar

He’ll see the popular vote count and it will annoy him. He was mad about it even when he won!

idiomaddict ,

Well yeah, that would be a disappointment to anyone, he lost in a popularity contest by 3 million votes to Hillary fucking Clinton. He absolutely deserves to feel bad about it and I hope he remembers every day that he wouldn’t have won if it weren’t for the electoral college.

samus12345 ,
@samus12345@lemmy.world avatar
SirDerpy ,

Both of you should be asking how your vote could be made meaningful outside the scope of your current evaluation.

SirDerpy ,

This sub hates the following message. That’s why it comes today instead of yesterday.

Focus on loyalty to ideology, not party affiliation. Left ideology has been most consistently expressed by the Green Party platform (Sanders watered it down, twice). They’ve lots of problems. But, they’re incredibly loyal to the platform.

If the Green Party gets 5% of the general election vote then they’ll be on every ballot in '28. The Democrats can’t silence the platform choice in primaries as they did twice to Sanders. This would place an incredible amount of pressure on Democrats immediately and be passively sustained for four years.

In a purple state I’d vote Democrat POTUS for harm reduction. In a blue state it’d depend on the situation. But, in a red state, I risk absolutely nothing by not for voting harm reduction.

We’re the only ones completely free to act for the long term. The blue wave thinks we’re too stupid to understand nuance. Political parties don’t deserve your loyalty. We need be loyal to each other, especially when we’re hated for our choices.

Dkarma ,

This message is hated because it is false and naive and helps Republicans.

ski11erboi ,

Just saw Oklahoma has one of the lowest voter turn outs in the nation. With Tulsa and Oklahoma city it’s more progressive than most people realize. We’ve just got to get out and vote and convince those around us to do the same. I know we have the numbers to win local elections.

zaph ,

Just saw Oklahoma has one of the lowest voter turn outs in the nation.

Probably because you’re not allowed to vote if someone from your party isn’t running. We have a county sheriff race that was just decided by drawing a name out of a hat. Dems didn’t get a vote.

MerrySkeptic ,

Good for you. It may not mean anything for national elections but it could make a difference in a local one

cabron_offsets ,

Nah, not meaningless. Any swing away from the degenerates will dispirit them.

UnderpantsWeevil ,
@UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world avatar

Lots of downticket races can be swung by a popular presidential nominee.

That said, Oklahoma’s awash in O&G money and its state bureaucrats are notoriously corrupt. At some point, the sheer volume of gerrymandering, vote caging, and criminal disenfranchisement needs to be addressed. Simply shouting at people to “GO VOTE!” when they’re getting handed broken machines and defective butterfly ballots and threatening robocalls isn’t helping anyone, least of all the candidates they’re hoping will win.

SirDerpy ,

This sub hates the following message. That’s why it comes today instead of yesterday.

Focus on loyalty to ideology, not party affiliation. Left ideology has been most consistently expressed by the Green Party platform (Sanders watered it down, twice). They’ve lots of problems. But, they’re incredibly loyal to the platform.

If the Green Party gets 5% of the general election vote then they’ll be on every ballot in '28. The Democrats can’t silence the platform choice in primaries as they did twice to Sanders. This would place an incredible amount of pressure on Democrats immediately and be passively sustained for four years.

In a purple state I’d vote Democrat POTUS for harm reduction. In a blue state it’d depend on the nuance of the situation. But, in a red state, I risk absolutely nothing by not for voting harm reduction.

We’re the only ones completely free to act for the long term. The blue wave thinks we’re too stupid to understand nuance. Political parties don’t deserve your loyalty. We need be loyal to each other, especially when we’re hated for our choices.

Dkarma ,

There is no way the greens can get to 270. You’re suggesting progressives split the Dem vote.

This is a sure way to lose for Dems and progressives.

The way to move the party left is with money and primaries not the general election.

Proddedcow , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

This is good. Early, sure, but its numbers going in the right direction.

solsangraal , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

i’m going to need so much popcorn to watch GOP squirming and flailing desperate to find something to attack LOL

she’s too OLD!!!

hunter’s laptop!!!

buttery males!!!

LOL

eat shit, republicans

samus12345 ,
@samus12345@lemmy.world avatar

“She LAUGHS!”

solsangraal ,

“she hates dogs!!!”

LOL j/k. that’s trump. trump hates dogs

samus12345 , (edited )
@samus12345@lemmy.world avatar

Oh yeah, there’s also “She never had kids!”

Gullible ,

There will be quite a few Muslim allegations as well, for reasons. Which is funny, considering she has history with nearly everything besides Islam.

samus12345 ,
@samus12345@lemmy.world avatar

Oh yeah, probably. Has the GOP ever really sorted out their racist talking points about Indians (from India, not Native Americans)?

Gullible ,

Considering the complete lack of backlash against the commentators who disparaged Vivek this year, they’ve definitely got a handle on it.

Ensign_Crab ,

Oh, some of them are certain to be confused and make racist comments about Native Americans too.

cabron_offsets ,

Coconuts!

odium ,

She cares about accessibility

RustyShackleford , (edited )
@RustyShackleford@programming.dev avatar

What about white females?

- Republican Congressman Tim Burchett

Zaktor ,

Congressman Burchett with a belated Hillary Clinton endorsement.

Flatworm7591 , (edited )

From a Politico article, we can see how the Russians are starting to talk about Harris. The Republicans aren’t usually far behind…

“Kamala with the nuclear button is worse than a monkey with a grenade,” Andrei Sidorov, the dean of the global politics department at Moscow State University (a once highly respected institution) said Sunday evening on state television’s prime weekly talk show.

Edit: and then there’s this: Unhinged Republican candidate calls Kamala Harris a “little wh*re” as GOP descends into misogyny

solsangraal ,

little wh*re

LOL

so she’s…melania?

Socsa ,

Anything happens:

Russians: NUCLEAR WAR OOGY BOOGY

barsquid ,

That’s racist. Yeah, that’s exactly the sort of rhetoric Repubs like to pick up.

Ensign_Crab ,

It’s been a delight watching them flail uselessly. They knew they might have Harris as an opponent from the instant someone as old as Biden selected her for VP. They’ve had all this time to do oppo research and focus group what is likely to stick.

All their arguments against Biden evaporated into nothingness the instant he bowed out and they are completely unprepared to run against Harris.

They counted on Biden being a stubborn idiot and staying in the race and didn’t have a backup plan.

homesweethomeMrL , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

1.) POLLS ARE GARBAGE.

2.) Corporate news cannot run a horse race without polls

3.) See #1

nifty , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
@nifty@lemmy.world avatar

Polls mean nothing, the trends on polls aren’t guaranteed if people get complacent and don’t turn out. Voter apathy is the worst thing that can happen to Dems in this election

Ab_intra ,
@Ab_intra@lemmy.world avatar

Well I hope they learned from 2016. I think they did…

MyOpinion , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

Let’s get this number to double dights!

vzq , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

How’s that convention bump coming along, Donnie?

xc2215x , to world in World registers hottest day ever recorded on July 21, monitor says

Climate change exists.

catloaf , to news in Exclusive: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

That’s within the margin of error. That’s not leading.

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