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canihasaccount

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canihasaccount ,

I’m back on my BS is also a solid contributor

The old primary argument against panpsychism has now become the primary argument for it

Panpsychism is the idea that everything is conscious to some degree (which, to be clear, isn’t what I think). In the past, the common response to the idea was, “So, rocks are conscious?” This argument was meant to illustrate the absurdity of panpsychism....

canihasaccount OP ,

Not everyone finds it persuasive, yeah. It’s an appeal to intuition that many people, though not all, have.

canihasaccount OP ,

Interesting take! Is lightning conscious, then? The idea of Thor isn’t too far off if so, haha.

canihasaccount OP ,

Fair points. My use of “primary” was a poor choice; I meant something along the lines of “most common among individuals who aren’t philosophers, in my experience.”

canihasaccount ,

Me

canihasaccount ,

The online play is garbage. I played in H1 tournaments around the US back when it was good and would love for them to do it better than they did with their remake. The remake actually remade Halo 1 PC, not the Xbox version.

canihasaccount , (edited )

Not true:

www.sciencedirect.com/…/S0165032714003620

www.cghjournal.org/article/…/fulltext

I found more, too.

Edit: I have no skin in this game. I don’t take turmeric and won’t ever because of the risk of lead. I’m just pointing out that the meme is inaccurate. The person who replied to me pointed out some flaws in the first study (not the second), but none of the flaws mentioned makes the meme accurate. Even the shitty first study I linked found a significant condition difference in its primary endpoint at 8 weeks. Yeah, it’s got flaws (which the second doesn’t), but a successful trial with heavy limitations and conflicts of interest is nonetheless a successful trial, making this meme inaccurate. The second study I linked is stronger.

Also, the limitations in the first trial are standard for many clinical trials. For example:

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/…/jsr.12201

www.sciencedirect.com/…/S0924977X14001266

I could list 100 more with the same limitations of the first study I linked above. High dropout, small sample sizes, funding by an industry with a conflict of interest etc. are standard for clinical trial studies.

canihasaccount ,

I’m not saying the study is good, just that the meme isn’t true.

Also, you can level almost every single one of those criticisms against many studies for SSRIs and they’d hit just as hard. The exception being sample size.

canihasaccount ,

Why are you completely ignoring the second paper I linked, which doesn’t suffer from any of the limitations you mentioned?

The meme says no trial was successful. Any trial with any small difference is a successful trial.

canihasaccount ,

Sorry, but this makes clear that you aren’t in science. You should avoid trying to shit on studies if you don’t know how to interpret them. Both of the things you mentioned actually support the existence of a true effect.

First, if the treatment has an effect, you would expect a greater rate of relapse after the treatment is removed, provided that it treats a more final pathway rather than the cause: People in the placebo group have already been relapsing at the typical rate, and people receiving treatment–whose disease has been ramping up behind the dam of a medication preventing it from showing–are then expected to relapse at a higher rate after treatment is removed. The second sixth-month period was after cessation of the curcumin or place; it was a follow-up for treatment-as-usual.

Second, people drop out of a study nonrandomly for two main reasons: side effects and perceived lack of treatment efficacy. The placebo doesn’t have side effects, so when you have a greater rate of dropout in your placebo group, that implies the perceived treatment efficacy was lower. In other words, the worst placebo participants are likely the extra dropouts in that group, and including them would not only provide more degrees of freedom, it would theoretically strengthen the effect.

This is basic clinical trials research knowledge.

Again, I have no skin in the game here. I don’t take curcumin, nor would I ever. I do care about accurate depictions of research. I’m a STEM professor at an R1 with three active federal grants funding my research. The meme is inaccurate.

canihasaccount ,

Ich lebe in Amerika. Ich lerne Deutsche sprechen, aber das kostet Geld. Vielleicht wollen die Migranten Deutsche lernen, haben aber nicht das Geld dafür?

Sorry if the above is poorly worded; I’m still new to the language. My point is that there are lots of reasons that someone might not know a language well, including a lack of money, or a lack of time from needing to work full time to support one’s migrant family on a low wage.

Mexican immigrants to the US are wonderful, but their culture is very different from non-Hispanic US culture. I don’t expect them to learn English. They work like 60 hours per week to support their families. Like the person you’re replying to has said, though, their children learn English and integrate into, but also uniquely contribute to, US culture. Rather than expecting the first-generation immigrants to learn English, I’ve learned Spanish specifically to speak with them. It’s not like there are many more immigrants to Germany than there are immigrants to the US–even discounting the fact that the US has always been a country of immigrants, Hispanic and Latino/a/e Americans (the majority of which are Mexican Americans) are expected to exceed 50% of all Americans within a couple of decades. In some states, they are already the majority.

Diversity is a good thing, and we shouldn’t require immigrants to become like us culturally or linguistically before accepting them.

canihasaccount ,

That’s not actually the abstract; it’s a piece from the discussion that someone pasted nicely with the first page in order to name and shame the authors. I looked at it in depth when I saw this circulate a little while ago.

canihasaccount ,

It did, actually: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LES1252881500Q

canihasaccount ,

I was just in a smaller city in Germany and flew back to the US after that. I look German and speak German. When paying with card, Germany felt exactly like the US. At every restaurant, the tip request automatically came up within the thing used to process your card, just like in the US.

canihasaccount ,

https://lemmy.world/pictrs/image/e94df051-ef2c-4dca-84e9-c4e59e24d46b.jpeg

EU is still smaller

But the main reason the US can’t handle the same stuff at a federal level that the EU can is population density. The US government can’t afford to nationalize rural healthcare given how rural the US can be–especially with their debt/GDP at the moment. Give it another few hundred years and the US might catch up to Europe in that respect.

canihasaccount ,

Also, the US is 9.14 million sq. km of land, whereas the EU is 4.29 million sq. km of land

canihasaccount ,

That’s fascinating, and I agree with you. Why the US hates the idea of high-speed rail is beyond me, especially because they prided themselves so much on the rail system they put together earlier in their development. In any case, the US can’t do much of anything with its debt-to-GDP as high as it is right now. They can hardly keep from shutting the government down entirely because they won’t even agree to a government budget.

A lot of Redditors hate the Reddit IPO | Reddit warned us that its users were a risk factor, and boy do they sound excited about shorting its stock. (www.theverge.com)

A lot of Redditors hate the Reddit IPO | Reddit warned us that its users were a risk factor, and boy do they sound excited about shorting its stock.::Reddit seems like a likely candidate for a meme stock. But the actual reaction suggests that r/WallStreetBets isn’t going to send the stock to the moon.

canihasaccount ,

I’m thinking of shorting it. My friend is definitely shorting it.

canihasaccount ,

To a degree. The large subreddits, like AskReddit, get far fewer upvotes on the top posts of the week than they used to get. I think there’s a good chunk of folks who left for a replacement, then left their replacement without going back to Reddit.

canihasaccount ,

I go out of my way not to do so. Whenever I search for some specific items and see “Sponsored,” I’ll scroll down until I get the same listing without the ad link.

canihasaccount ,

Would you, after devoting full years of your adult life to the unpaid work of learning the requisite advanced math and computer science needed to develop such a model, like to spend years more of your life to develop a generative AI model without compensation? Within the US, it is legal to use public text for commercial purposes without any need to obtain a permit. Developers of such models deserve to be paid, just like any other workers, and that doesn’t happen unless either we make AI a utility (or something similar) and funnel tax dollars into it or the company charges for the product so it can pay its employees.

I wholeheartedly agree that AI shouldn’t be trained on copyrighted, private, or any other works outside of the public domain. I think that OpenAI’s use of nonpublic material was illegal and unethical, and that they should be legally obligated to scrap their entire model and train another one from legal material. But developers deserve to be paid for their labor and time, and that requires the company that employs them to make money somehow.

canihasaccount ,

Beyond self-reports and perception-based outcomes, most extant studies that I’m aware of have found decreases in real output. For example, a randomized controlled trial published by the NBER found that productivity of employees randomly assigned to work from home was 18% lower than employees randomly assigned to work in the office:

www.nber.org/papers/w31515

Another study found that output decreased by around 13% when employees worked from home, even though hours worked increased:

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/…/721803

Cognitive performance may also decline in remote settings:

academic.oup.com/ej/article/132/643/1218/6445994

canihasaccount , (edited )

First, the RCT is a much stronger study. I’m not sure why you’re picking a fight with a correlational paper when there is a causal manipulation that I linked first.

Second, did you actually read the paper? 1B isn’t the graph of productivity; 1C is. You can’t just look at a graph, either–you need statistics.

“For Output, figure 1B, there is no visible monotonic or linear trend, so a seasonal time correction might be more appropriate here. Moreover, average output appears to be slightly lower during WFH.

For Productivity, figure 1C, the graph is more volatile, which is not surprising for a ratio. There is no clear linear time trend before WFH, but some variation from month to month, so a seasonal correction might be more appropriate. Productivity drops visibly during WFH. Finally, figure 1D plots the log of Productivity, which drops considerably after the start of WFH.

To quantify the WFH effect, and to control for employee and team time-invariant variables (via employee and team fixed effects), we now turn to the regression analyses. Informally, the estimates give us average differences in outcomes before and during WFH for the same employee, controlling for team effects (since employees sometimes switch teams) and time trends.

Table 4 reports WFH effect estimates based on OLS regressions for all three outcome variables, plus the natural logarithm of Productivity, in each case with linear and seasonal time trend corrections. All estimates are in line with the visible effects in the raw data in figure 1.

…

Columns 5 and 6 show that both WFH effect estimates on Productivity are negative, but only the estimate with seasonal time trend is significantly different from zero. We prefer that specification, since both the plot and the linear time trend coefficient indicate that a linear trend is not as appropriate. According to this specification, productivity decreased by 0.26 output percentage points per hour worked. Given an average WFO productivity of 1.36, this estimate corresponds to a 19% drop in output per hour worked. This is economically significant: if employees worked a fixed 40 hours per week, this would imply a drop in output of 10.2 output percentage points in a week. In other words, if employees had not increased time worked during WFH, on average they would have completed only 90 of 100 assigned tasks.

Columns 7 and 8 explain the log of Productivity, which strongly increases the fit of the regression. The WFH effect is negative and significantly different from zero at all significance levels, irrespective of time controls.”

canihasaccount ,

The RCT is free to access (if you haven’t downloaded more than three NBER papers; if you have, open the page in a different browser). Scroll down on the page I linked and download it via the button.

Statistically, you can control for variables in OLS regression–that’s literally exactly what the model does when you include more than one variable–and, provided that you got your doctorate in anything that uses statistics, I am sure you know that.

Seasonality is one of the more basic economics concepts. The influence of weather and seasonal illness trends on productivity has been shown in a number of studies (e.g., productivity declines during the flu season). The authors didn’t “show” it because it would be like showing gravity in a physics paper. Some things can be assumed. Also, productivity didn’t have a trend, as was stated in the text that I quoted.

You completely ignored the log transformed results, which the authors note were better fit by the regression than the untransformed data, and which showed less productivity in work from home regardless of whether seasonality was controlled.

Personally, I think people should be able to work from home all they want. Productivity isn’t the only important thing in life, nor is it the only important thing to businesses (e.g., retention of top employees is important). I am wholly against WebMD and all other companies requiring employees to return to the office. All I was doing in my comments was trying to clarify the data on WFH and productivity. There are good reasons to continue to allow WFH, but increased productivity is not one.

I’m going to finish my course prep. You can have the final word here; I don’t have time to continue debating anymore.

canihasaccount ,

No, it isn’t; performance != ability, and it’s not clear that cognitive performance declines at all–hence the word “may.”

My claim is that

Cognitive performance may also decline in remote settings

Nothing more.

canihasaccount ,

I haven’t heard of any ultra-rich person who wants to reduce the population. A population decline will lead to stock price declines as the majority of the population ages (automated 401k investments buy and thus increase stock prices, withdrawals from 401k sell and thus decrease stock prices; an older population means less investment and greater withdrawal). Do you have a source for your decrease surplus population claim?

canihasaccount ,

About a quarter of my colleagues walk to work everyday. One doesn’t even own a car. I don’t live in a city.

canihasaccount ,

JAMA Network Open is a pay-to-publish journal, but it’s from a reputable publisher. There are a few other studies, albeit smaller, that came to similar conclusions (e.g., 95% AUC) and have been published in other journals. Autism is linked to a number of retinal abnormalities that can be detected from photographs. This could be a real thing.

Study finds that Chat GPT will cheat when given the opportunity and lie to cover it up later. (lemmy.world)

We demonstrate a situation in which Large Language Models, trained to be helpful, harmless, and honest, can display misaligned behavior and strategically deceive their users about this behavior without being instructed to do so. Concretely, we deploy GPT-4 as an agent in a realistic, simulated environment, where it assumes the...

canihasaccount ,

GPT-4 will. For example, I asked it the following:

What is the neighborhood stranger model of fluid mechanics?

It responded:

The “neighborhood stranger model” of fluid mechanics is not a recognized term or concept within the field of fluid mechanics, as of my last update in April 2023.

Now, obviously, this is a made-up term, but GPT-4 didn’t confidently give an incorrect answer. Other LLMs will. For example, Bard says,

The neighborhood stranger model of fluid mechanics is a simplified model that describes the behavior of fluids at a very small scale. In this model, fluid particles are represented as points, and their interactions are only considered with other particles that are within a certain “neighborhood” of them. This neighborhood is typically assumed to be a sphere or a cube, and the size of the neighborhood is determined by the length scale of the phenomena being studied.

canihasaccount ,

Well, the WHO wants information because the pneumonia that children are getting there isn’t the result of COVID and the usual other culprits. It’s a bad idea to stop travel and this is definitely just politics, but I don’t think it’s fair to say we have no evidence of a new illness. WHO thinks something is weird.

canihasaccount ,

There are still people who have terrible American accents in media. Lucifer’s twin, for example, was so ridiculously bad. The only person without an American accent who I’ve ever seen pull one off in media was Hugh Laurie in later seasons of House. I still find most attempts amusing, even with coaching.

canihasaccount ,

Linux is a hell of a drug

canihasaccount ,

The Nebuchadnezzar was commissioned in 2069 in The Matrix series.

canihasaccount ,

You don’t use first-person pronouns when describing yourself or your actions?

canihasaccount ,

In the longest ultramarathon, which is 3,100 miles, men have beaten women by days every single year: …wikipedia.org/…/Self-Transcendence_3100_Mile_Rac…

Australia: Sydney University sacks immune-compromised academic for insisting on COVID safety (www.wsws.org)

Unless Niko Tiliopoulos’s sacking is defeated, it will set a precedent for use throughout the tertiary education industry to victimise and sack educators who refuse, for critical health reasons, to adhere to the intensifying “return to campus” offensive.

canihasaccount ,

Most professors at the caliber of his institution don’t teach undergraduates, or at least don’t do so very frequently. If his workload is like most professors, his primary job is research, with mentoring PhD students and service to the department/college/field taking up the remainder of his time. Instructors and teaching professors are hired to teach undergraduate courses at major research universities. His Google Scholar shows he has still been publishing, so this was probably political:

scholar.google.com/citations?hl=en&user=byo30…

canihasaccount ,

You mean our lithium?

Sincerely,

The White House

canihasaccount ,

But a byte is 8 bits, not the other way around

canihasaccount ,

I interpreted it as showing that 8 hobbytes were equivalent to a hobbit. I didn’t see that it could be interpreted as saying each little frodo picture under the hobbyte was a hobbit until your comment.

canihasaccount ,

Or Kagi. I couldn’t do DDG but Kagi was good enough for me to finally switch off of Google.

The pirates are back - Anew study from the European Union’s Intellectual Property Office (EUIPO) suggest that online piracy has increased for the first time in years. In fact, piracy rates have bee... (www.pandasecurity.com)

The pirates are back - Anew study from the European Union’s Intellectual Property Office (EUIPO) suggest that online piracy has increased for the first time in years. In fact, piracy rates have bee…::We analyze a new study where the EUIPO suggests online piracy is on the increase within the European Union.

canihasaccount ,

Glad to hear this classic may make a comeback

www.youtube.com/watch?v=GVXCr6upWUo

canihasaccount ,

Yeah, that was my favorite one

canihasaccount ,

Where’s the Julia programmer that hits every one of these with @benchmark and then works for six hours to shave three nanoseconds off of the fastest one?

(Example: discourse.julialang.org/t/…/35209)

canihasaccount ,

You can choose to ignore things you don’t understand on Lemmy. I don’t go into the Risa posts because I know they’re not for me. If something doesn’t make sense and you want to ask about it, go for it, but don’t get upset when the explanation isn’t one that makes sense to you. For a lot of people, popular Vines were everywhere for a while. Not everything on the internet is for you.

canihasaccount ,

This isn’t true, provided that their dataset is large enough. The models are stochastic, and with a large enough number of parameters and a large enough training set, can generate truly unique content. For example, I strongly doubt you’d be able to find anything remotely resembling the following anywhere, ever (look up what the movie is about, and watch it, to understand the absurdity of my request), and yet it was generated by ChatGPT:

chat.openai.com/…/803f2633-8682-45f0-b999-3bede5c…

If you read interviews from the development of these models, you’ll see the creators saying what can be clear from the above link: With a large enough training set, these models start to learn something about the organization of language itself, and how to generate novel content.

The model architecture that these things are based on tries to replicate how our brains work, and the process by which they learn language isn’t unlike how we learn language.

canihasaccount ,

52% of Catholics voted for Trump in 2020:

pewresearch.org/…/most-white-americans-who-regula…

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