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2024: The Year Linux Dethrones Windows on the Desktop – Are You Ready?

  • NTSync coming in Kernel 6.11 for better Wine/Proton game performance and porting.
  • Wine-Wayland last 4/5 parts left to be merged before end of 2024
  • Wayland HDR/Game color protocol will be finished before end of 2024
  • Nvidia 555/560 will be out for a perfect no stutter Nvidia performance
  • KDE/Gnome reaching stability and usability with NO FKN ADS
  • VR being usable
  • More Wine development and more Games being ported
  • Better LibreOffice/Word compatibility
  • Windows 10 coming to EOL
  • Improved Linux simplicity and support
  • Web-native apps (Including Msft Office and Adobe)
  • .Net cross platform (in VSCode or Jetbrains Rider)

What else am I missing?

KingThrillgore ,
@KingThrillgore@lemmy.ml avatar

NETCRAFT CONFIRMS IT

jjjalljs ,

Been seriously thinking of switching to linux for my desktop. I mostly use it for games. Today I was looking at mods for Mass Effect, and the mod manager says in all caps - LINUX IS NOT SUPPORTED :(

There’s probably going to be a lot of that sort of annoyance for years.

Theharpyeagle ,

You might still try using Proton or Lutris to run it. It may be a pain to get working, but hopefully someone out there has a guide for the mod manager you’re using.

urska OP ,

Nah. What hes saying its that they are not supported natively. The game is Gold on protondb, so its playable on Linux. Just use Wine to run your mods. Simple

darkphotonstudio ,

I’d argue that it really doesn’t matter. Linux has taken over everything else. And the more MS fucks up, the more likely people will look for alternatives. I do believe many will go to Mac, but Linux is clearly picking up some of the slack as well. Microsoft wouldn’t be the first tech company to take a tumble. Never say never.

ZILtoid1991 ,
  • A non-AI generated image - it communicates to artists that they’re not welcome, while Linux is getting there in support for artists (Krita, LMMS, etc.).
  • A debugger with a GUI - no, I don’t care about writing shell scripts to automate debugging.
  • Server-side decorations on Gnome - just add an option for it FFS!
  • A way to easily recover from a crash during an update - I was lucky that I could do it from the command line, but my Ubuntu still likes to crash the VM host if I open Nautilus.
  • Drivers.
  • Linux devs not throwing a temper tantrum for a driver not being GPL. I know, that would be the ideal, but corporations gonna corporate.

Also web-native apps are a web 2.0 mistake, and lead to the abandonment of many portable GUI frameworks in favor of the “what if your pops didn’t had to install Word Processor, and instead just had to type wordprocessor.com into his browser” idea of some techbro. Do you know why your ÜBERGAMERMOUSE Ultrautility is 250+MB? Because they’re all Electron apps!

DarkCloud , (edited )

What else am I missing?

Global Linux usage stats vs global Windows usage stats for PC Desktops.

Potatos_are_not_friends ,

Linux is roughly at 3.88% market share. You don’t think we can bump Linux adoption to 99.9% in the next six months?

We just have to keep writing these “Year of the Linux” posts every year.

sorter_plainview ,

Come on… don’t be so pessimistic!!

WholeEnchilada ,

You mean realistic???

Valmond ,

You mean 50.1% !

cmdr_nova ,
@cmdr_nova@lemmy.world avatar

I was trying to read your post but I’m distracted by the algorithmic theft you used for the image. Learn to draw or don’t post

JokeDeity ,

Yeah, no, I’m sure it’s about to go from less than 10% market share to over 50% in one year. 🙃

NutWrench ,
@NutWrench@lemmy.world avatar

This isn’t the first time Microsoft has pushed telemetry and malware in its OS. But I think they have finally crossed the line with CoPilot. What they want to do with it is so incredibly obvious and intrusive that most people just won’t stand for it.

winterayars ,

They’re definitely going to back down. I’m guessing they’re going to back down a little (maybe create an opt out for the enterprise customers?) and then claim victory, but we’ll see.

efstajas ,

You’re vastly overestimating how much the average consumer cares about these things

sorter_plainview ,

Well… I think you are putting too much expectation on a common person. I’m pretty sure a lot of people are going to be ‘mind blown’, by the ability of the new Recall feature. They will hail it as a technological marvel. Very few people care about privacy, and even in that, very few people really understand how they can have some privacy. Complete privacy is near to impossible.

WholeEnchilada ,

I think the EU will take the lead with regulations. They’re already onto the phone number for sign-in thing. They’re kinda slow, but less slow, ya know?

Uplink ,
@Uplink@programming.dev avatar

Ah yes, this year is definitely the year of the Linux desktop. For real this time!

winterayars ,

There’s a real opportunity here and we can either take it and run or we can let it pass us by.

kaffiene ,

I think if I could get xbox game pass running on Linux, I’d be there

yamanii ,
@yamanii@lemmy.world avatar

Same, Persona 3 Reload costs the equivalent of 10 months of gamepass in Brazil, it’s really important for full priced games.

WholeEnchilada ,

I think if I could get everything I run actually running on there without issues I’d be there. Still pondering the steam deck. Haven’t bought it. Will buy it when I can actually do what their slogan says about having my whole library with me anywhere I go.

eveninghere , (edited )

I wonder if atomic desktops would change manufacturers’ mind. We have to admit LTSes like from Ubuntu failed to make pre-installed Linux popular.

Silverblue contains too much cutting-edge software to be pre-installed as of now, but if Red Hat decides to provide a mechanism for manufacturers to better stabilize Silverblue I’d take it seriously. Automatic updates with cleanly split customization mechanisms, and the source is available. If the PC is just supposed to do web browsing with couple peripherals like a fucking printer (don’t ask me why), it might be preferable over Windows. And my relatives can’t configure Windows on their own anyway.

At the same time I don’t know why Chromebook isn’t more popular cus it’s probably good enough for 90% of use cases. (The rest is basically elderly people who want 10GB photos in their 2TB SSDs, only to lose them “accidentally”. Maybe Chromebook can do that, too, but I just can’t recommend it due to corner cases I’m not aware of. I mean, I don’t want to test Chromebooks for my relatives.)

eveninghere ,

So, I checked how my fav game is doing on proton, and it’s Linux as usual. Mostly fine with recent efforts. Someone patched proton to resolve many remaining issues, but some people still experience issues.

As a tech geek who fucks around with my set up, I’m usually going to be an idiot belonging to that category of some people who face problems.

And if I use Windows the game dev will do the work. Sad reality.

eveninghere ,

Given the nature of fediverse, this specific category of people might indeed throw away Windows for their private machines.

nucleative ,

Anybody seriously believing this has a misunderstanding of how little people care about what OS they use and how much they care that it works the way they expect.

Pilferjinx ,

Most people don’t. But if they keep chipping away their customers, Linux might reach a threshold where it’s more convenient to switch.

figaro ,

I love how delusional people here are.

Joking lol but serious that it will never happen. Windows has waaay too much of a monopoly for that to never happen.

Like wtf, am I supposed to tell my mom to use the terminal to download ms word? Oh wait sorry you can use libre office! It’s the same but… Well it looks different. And isn’t as functional.

nossaquesapao ,

People around here are delusional a lot of times, but to say that windows has too much of a monopoly to lose market, is too much of an exaggeration. Microsoft has been taking unpopular decisions, newer windows versions have been facing more and more resistance, macos has been growing and taking a share of the market, some governments and smaller businesses have been trying linux as a way to cut expenses, linux usability have been improving a lot, android devices have been taking more steps into taking functionalities from desktop systems and improving usability with keyboard and mouse, a lot of computers that do simple processing have been replaced by sbcs, like raspberry pis, etc.

Windows isn’t too big to fail, and it’s not impossible that we’re close to see it starting to fall. Now, on what os would become the bigger player, that’s another story.

Fun fact: My elderly mother uses linux, and without my help. Also, she never used the terminal.

anon5621 ,

Same thing here my grandparents and some other old age people which i know using linux mint.I installed it to their pc 5 years ago and up to date,it’s works fine for them before on windows it was nighmare while they were catching ads malware while browsing the net.

AusatKeyboardPremi ,

some governments […] have been trying linux as a way to cut expenses

I have been hearing such news for close to two decades but not without news where many such organisations switch back to using proprietary software due to a mixture of reasons ranging from usability to politics.

bufalo1973 ,
@bufalo1973@lemmy.ml avatar

Windows usage is decreasing every year. Slowly but… And it will reach a point where it will have not enough critical mass to be “THE OS” but “another OS”.

DerisionConsulting ,

I agree that it’s not the year of the linux desktop, and that people who think it is are very naive, but you don’t need to tell anyone to use the terminal for anything for many distros.

Abnorc ,

Until you encounter some weird glitch that needs to be fixed using the terminal. It happens maybe once every couple of months for me, but it still happens. Even so, I’m considering switching fully after windows 10 goes EOL.

pipe01 , (edited )

Better than a Windows 10 glitch that requires you to dig through 10 dialogs

Valmond ,

You’re right but I have seen old people getting some Ubuntu/Mint installed and set up and they email & spreadsheet away just fine.

I guess the only who will have to tinker are gamers (or very specific power users?).

Others just doesn’t even know or care about the OS.

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