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jj4211 ,

Well, tar.zstd is starting to be the thing now.

jj4211 ,

The problem is that ‘everyone knows’ but Congress did not hold designate him as doing so. While Colorado declared he did, the Supreme Court unanimously ruled that section 5 of the 14th amendment says it’s up to congress, not courts (neither state or federal) to make the determination.

jj4211 ,

The Supreme court’s reply: Section 5 14th Amendment

They said only the national legislature can make this determination, based on section 5.

jj4211 ,

given the current extremely partisan court

Note that on this particular matter, they ruled unanimously that Trump couldn’t be removed from ballots.

jj4211 ,

Agreed, though to be fair, since we all saw it with our own eyes, you would hope we would move to prevent it by voting against him.

jj4211 , (edited )

I’m all for and good eye rolling at institutional Agile (basically checkered with bad management who doesn’t know what to do, but abuses buzz words and asserts Agile instead), but this article has a lot of issues.

For one, it’s a plug for someone’s consultancy, banking on recognition that, like always, crappy teams deliver crappy results and “Agile” didn’t fix it, but I promise I have a methodology to make your bad team good.

For another, it seems to gauge success based on how developers felt if they succeeded. Developers will always gripe about evolving requirements, so if they think requirements were set in stone early, they will proclaim greatness (even if the users/customers hate it and it’s a commercial failure).

jj4211 ,

I think the take away should be:

new research conducted for a new book, Impact Engineering,

By contrast, projects adopting a new Impact Engineering approach detailed in a new book released today only failed 10% of the time.

So the people who want to sell you ‘Impact Engineering’ say ‘Impact Engineering’ is better than Agile… Hardly an objective source.

Even if they have success with their ‘Impact Engineering’ methodology, the second it becomes an Agile-level buzzword is the second it also becomes crap.

The short of the real problem is that the typical software development project is subject to piss poor management, business planning, and/or developers and that piss poor management is always looking for some ‘quick fix’ in methodology to wave a wand and get business success without across the board competency.

jj4211 ,

"new sw development methodology seems to have a much lower failure rate than agile dev, claims people who stand to make money if new sw development methodology has a lower failure rate. "

jj4211 ,

This weekend I proposed to my girlfriend, here’s what it taught me about B2B sales…

jj4211 ,

I was not familiar and I’m American. Guess they’ll have to exile me somewhere…

jj4211 ,

I also speak English, and now I’m extra exiled and will have to go to some country that I don’t speak the language.

jj4211 ,

Most of those ‘SUVs’ are what we used to would call ‘station wagon’ or ‘compact wagon’.

Ioniq 5, Kia EV6, Mach-E, Model 3, Lyriq, and Blazer EV I would say aren’t particularly ‘big’ but all are ‘SUV’. You have Model 3 which is not even ‘technically’ an SUV. You also have the Leaf, the Niro EV, the Mini Cooper SE, which are all relatively smaller.

The models that are typical ‘large’ SUVs are relatively few. The EV9, the Rivian, maybe the Model X are the ones off the top of my head that are “Ford Explorer” big or larger. Yes the pickup trucks are blighted by the same “cosplay as a big rig” design language inflicted on the ICE pickups, except for CyberTruck which somehow managed to be even worse.

jj4211 ,

I read a report that Model 3 LFPs were down to around $7k. CATL claims te be under $5k this year for a brand new pack good for about a 200 mile range. Analysts predict under $3k for that pack in 2025. This is even ignoring the potential to remanufacture an existing pack, reusing the parts of the packs that don’t degrade, and potentially reclaiming some value for recycling the cells. LFPs also have more durability, so likely to be a 15 year workable lifespan for most drivers.

This is a rapidly evolving situation, with prices going down dramatically for battery. If it lands at less than $5k for a 15 year maintenance item, then that’s even less than I spent keeping my 15 year old Acura in working order toward the end, ignoring the extra costs I had to spend on the gas compared to the EV charging. About half the gas cars I’ve owned have been a money pit for maintenance, and the other half haven’t been super cheap either. The EVs have been much lower maintenance, though admittedly the maintenance cost will be high years down the line, but I wager in aggregate it’ll be cheaper than the maintenance costs of my traditional cars have been.

jj4211 ,

Well, there is the mini Cooper, but if you are considering the leaf a big SUV, that’s hardly “big American” and would fit in with most four door vehicles for decades globally, certainly anything with four doors that could pass collision and pedestrian safety standards today… to get smaller you have to go down to the little two door things, and for most people those are too impractical as a daily driver.

jj4211 ,

I would suspect that even if it is an engineered crisis, it’s not our own wealthy class doing the engineering. They can have what they want in a more stable way by not having this nonsense happen. It’s not like the democrats are suddenly going to actually start making their lives notably harder. In fact, a lot of the ‘MAGA’ is stuff they would not want (high tariffs when they want to import cheap and sell high instead, abusing immigrants by detaining and deporting instead of abusing them by making them be a cheap labor source afraid to exercise any rights they might have for fear of getting deported).

Foreign interests are about the only ones that stand to gain from this sort of instability.

jj4211 ,

I don’t want anyone that won’t live with the consequences of their political decisions to be in a position where they get to decide for those who will.

On the flip side, young folks vote influences things like social security and medicare. Given that everyone of all ages is subject to various government policies, often uniquely, you cannot have a system where you can identify a subpopulation that ‘shouldn’t count’ by that logic.

jj4211 ,

We referred to the dotcom bubble as the dotcom bubble, but that didn’t mean that the web went away, it just meant that companies randomly tried stuff and had money thrown at them because the investors had no idea either.

So same here, AI bubble because it’s being randomly attempted without particular vision with lots and lots of money, not because the technology fundamentally is a bust.

jj4211 ,

Recently Dell’s stock slipped 16%. Not because they were losing sales, not because their revenue was declining, but because analysts said their margins on AI computers weren’t big enough.

So there seems to be some patience wearing thin in the AI rush that includes the shovel makers.

jj4211 ,

Probably more like the Internet boom of the late 90s. It will crash but some very big parts will persist, perhaps one day overcoming even the expectations of the boom, but more gradually than investors imagined.

jj4211 ,

Yeah, right now the loudest voices are either “AI is ready to do everything right now or in a few months” or “This AI thing is worthless garbage” (both in practice refer to LLM specifically, even though they just say “AI”, the rest of AI field is pretty “boringly” accepted right now). There’s not a whole lot of attention given to more nuanced takes on what it realistically can/will be able to do or not do. With proponents glossing over the limitations and detractors pretending that every single use of LLM is telling people to eat rocks and glue.

jj4211 ,

I know a registered Republican who has never voted for the Republican candidate in the general election.

She says she agrees with the concept of fiscal conservativism, but every candidate she votes for in the primaries always loses to some intolerable asshat. Except she did like McCain, but she liked Obama even better.

Trump pushed her so far as to donate to the Democrats, but she is still registered Republican.

I know another registered Republican who did vote Republican back in the 80s, but at least says he hasn’t recently, similar reasons. He stays Republican mainly because he doesn’t see any point in bothering to change. Where he lives is die hard red so he knows the Republican primaries are his only chance to influence any candidate as even if he likes a Democrat, they will automatically lose. He votes Democrat in the general, but considers participating in the Republican primaries his best shot at mitigating the bad of the modern Republican party.

jj4211 ,

Hypothetically, let’s say that he is secretly game for the cease fire. How does he pivot from implying that the conditions are not met as things stand today to suddenly adopting a stance that is consistent with your proposed interpretation?

If what you said was true, that he is willing to consider the threat eliminated, then he would have said it already. Since he implies otherwise means he is requiring something more than the current situation. There’s no path to just abandon his stated position without something actually changing.

jj4211 ,

The analogy about Nikki Haley is apt, to ‘pivot’ is trivial, to credibly pivot is another. I promise not a single Trump supporter suddenly believed Nikki’s change and it didn’t buy her any clout. If anything, it undermined her previous bet of ‘party will move beyond Trump soon’.

Similarly, Netanyahu pivoting won’t appease any of his hard core supporters. Also, this presumes that Netanyahu is some secret moderate trying to appease extremists rather than actually being a key proponent/leader of the extremist agenda. This would be like saying “Trump is looking for an opportunity to pivot toward a pro-immigration stance, but his party just won’t let him”.

jj4211 ,

It’s a lot like his businesses back on the day. He tried the well being of something larger to him personally, so that a lot of stakeholders are desperate to bail him out specifically lest their larger concern is tanked. When his properties were in trouble in the 80s, investors/creditors helped boost his reputation because that was the only hope to salvage their money.

Here he made it so the entire Republican party will succeed or fail according to his personal situation. So desperation to mitigate his personal mess for the sake of their precious Republican party.

jj4211 ,

Keep in mind that the founding fathers were guilty of what would have been considered a lot of grave crimes by England, which was formerly the jurisdiction that applied to them.

So they probably wouldn’t have had a huge appetite for blocking political rights of criminals given their recent standing.

jj4211 ,

Bad publicity is relative.

The “bad publicity” when he is an odious asshole? His base loves that, they think they all should be able to say that stuff out loud.

Legal problems? Well they firmly believe it’s just a conspiracy to witch hunt and every case serves only to fuel their persecution complex

Anything else? Lies by the liberal media, they see the truth on Fox News. When Fox News even reports on it, then they shun them and off to newsmax or just their favorite Facebook posts.

jj4211 ,

Well, the point was that it isn’t competition in his scenario. I hope the exclusion of 1099 is temporary, because I had a 1099 for like a few dollars because I had a savings account that technically accrued interest, so as it stands that makes me ineligible. So his concern would be that because the tax prep services are competing against ‘free’ for that tier, that they’ll ramp up prices for the rest to compensate for loss of income.

jj4211 ,

Sounds like having any 1099 is ‘too complicated’. So anyone with any sort of savings account that managed to get $10 of interest over a year… So if you have like a thousand dollars in a boring old savings account you are ‘too complicated’.

jj4211 ,

Perhaps practically speaking you probably would get an automated form from IRS demanding a few dollars. But it’d be nice if qualification for ‘direct file’ option didn’t rely on “mild tax evasion” for people with savings accounts.

jj4211 ,

Given that savings accounts are at 1% interest or so, that’s only a thousand dollars in a savings account.

jj4211 ,

Based on what I’ve seen, I’d also say a homelab is often needlessly complex compared to what I’d consider a sane approach to self hosting. You’ll throw all sorts of complexity to imitate the complexity of things you are asked to do professionally, that are either actually bad, but have hype/marketing, or may bring value, but only at scales beyond a household’s hosting needs and far simpler setups will suffice that are nearly 0 touch day to day.

jj4211 ,

Yep, and I see evidence of that over complication in some ‘getting started’ questions where people are asking about really convoluted design points and then people reinforcing that by doubling down or sometimes mentioning other weird exotic stuff, when they might be served by a checkbox in a ‘dumbed down’ self-hosting distribution on a single server, or maybe installing a package and just having it run, or maybe having to run a podman or docker command for some. But if they are struggling with complicated networking and scaling across a set of systems, then they are going way beyond what makes sense for a self host scenario.

jj4211 ,

One implies he will personally forbid them from selling.

The other implies no one will want to buy them because they’ll be too expensive by their nature.

jj4211 ,

I was not saying he is correct, saying that was his likely meaning in this context. He’s not exactly got a great track record of being smart or correct. Just in this case he didn’t seem to mean a ban outright.

jj4211 ,

He is still a dangerous cheat, corrupted, megalomaniac, and kind of stupid and easily manipulated. It’s just that he probably didn’t mean a ban in this case.

Just because he is dangerous doesn’t mean we should also embrace misinformation against him. Plenty of legitimate information is damning enough, to embrace misinformation sites nothing but undermine the legitimate reasons to keep him the hell away from leadership.

jj4211 ,

Precisely because he says so much dangerous and stupid stuff we shouldn’t feel the need to potentially misrepresent something else.

Like I can tactically see why Fox News latched into just the dumbest stuff for Obama because Obama didn’t give them anything legitimate to work with to discredit him. Trump about hourly does or says something so terrible that we shouldn’t have to resort to potentially misrepresenting stuff.

jj4211 ,

Total Recall? Get your ass to Linux!

jj4211 ,

I don’t know if it’s really about a breakdown between ‘innovators’ and ‘sales/marketing’, but instead a breakdown between people who sincerely want to deliver something intrinsically valuable versus product delivery being some unfortunate obnoxious means to the end of “more money now”. A company founded from the onset of “don’t care, just make money” will generally fail, and the ones that succeed are the ones that care. Then you move beyond the “founder” generation of a company and then you get to watch the effort get scavenged to pieces.

Whatever may be said of Jobs, he really liked the company and products he was in charge of. Sometimes he would value form over function more than I would like, but it was still at least a facet of the actual product rather than hyper fixation on how to make the profit margins grow without much regard for the product itself. Yes, massive wealth flowed in as they caught the culture just right with iPod and then iPhone, but I don’t think it ever descended to cannibalizing the company to make those numbers even better than they were.

CEO of Google Says It Has No Solution for Its AI Providing Wildly Incorrect Information (futurism.com)

You know how Google’s new feature called AI Overviews is prone to spitting out wildly incorrect answers to search queries? In one instance, AI Overviews told a user to use glue on pizza to make sure the cheese won’t slide off (pssst…please don’t do this.)...

jj4211 ,

Yes, LLMs today are the ultimate “confidently incorrect” type of behavior.

1,000 Harvard Students Walk Out of Commencement to Support 13 Seniors Barred from Graduation over Gaza (www.democracynow.org)

More than a thousand Harvard students walked out of their commencement ceremony yesterday to support 13 undergraduates who were barred from graduating after they participated in the Gaza solidarity encampment in Harvard Yard....

jj4211 , (edited )

Learning a profession is sadly a relatively small part of how an institution helps you get a good job.

There are a number of jobs that have an insurmountable check box for “has college degree” in the HR checklist. Doesn’t matter if every interviewer says “hire him”, HR will refuse. Hell about three years into my career, my employer lost some records including their documentation that I had a degree, and they had informed me that I had three months to get my university to prove my status again, or my job would be terminated, that I had gotten and by their own admission I could not possibly have had if hadn’t proven it before, but their process was clear, so I had to get them what they wanted to keep the job.

Further, there are particularly exclusive companies that may insist on a particular set of colleges, e.g a list of ivy League universities that they will accept applicants from and nothing else will cut it, because they advertise their ivy League credentials to clients.

Even without a formal list, the names carry weight. When I was working on vetting candidates, which was usually a pretty grueling interview process, management had one guy skip the interviews and go straight to job offer because they saw MIT as their school.

In my experience, the people from there are not special and are not particularly better equipped for the sorts of work I deal with, but branding carries a lot of weight.

jj4211 ,

Sadly, probably not in practical terms.

Even if someone is angered by their actions, the employers are unlikely to hold it against those holding degrees, it isn’t their fault.

Meanwhile the jobs that only would accept Harvard or similar ivy League won’t care about why they didn’t actually get the degree, they just see that a degree was not from their precious “Harvard”. This may be a hard requirement or just a massive advantage branding wise for your university.

If this weren’t the case, Harvard couldn’t charge so much to attend, no one would pay.

So maybe if withholding the degree came with a big refund for all the money spent for the diploma they refuse to give, but as it stands…

jj4211 ,

That sounds like a rough experience friend, but if I was working at a company that needed to check up on my documentation after working there for some time - I’d probably find a new job where I wasn’t just employee 253966

It was a mild inconvenience inflicted by a bureaucratic HR I almost never dealt with. If I acted out by walking on the job, well that job was paying about 40% more than other offers I had on the table. It simply was an anecdote to demonstrate that some companies have formalities around the degree.

To your point about names carrying their weight - that’s a problem in itself: what about those that don’t go to ivy league? What about those that do that simply lack any marketable skill outside of where they went?

Not saying it is the most rational or the most fair, I’m simply saying it is a thing, and a thing that these would-be-graduates likely paid a lot of money for, specifically. Some of them might have had offers lined up at ‘Harvard-only’ companies (which sounds terrible, but I’ve heard it’s a thing and a thing that earn lots of money). Also, what if these would-be grads are in that camp of ‘no marketable skills apart from the name on their degree’? Then for them they especially want that institutional name on their degree.

I’ve seen far too many people working for companies like that get laid off regardless of how performant they were. They are just a line item.

This is good advice, but keep in mind you could lose your job wherever, so it’s less a game of trying to find out where you won’t get laid off, but about mitigation for if it happens, in terms of contractual severance and savings. Sure if a place is particularly layoff happy, maybe not worth the trouble, but no matter how personal and respectful the treatment you get is, layoff is always in the picture, up to and including the employer just completely going out of business.

There are good companies and good professions that do not have those requirements.

Sure, but these people paid for a Harvard degree and are presumably on a career track where that would be very valuable. The good companies and good professions may not be as lucrative for those graduation candidates as options that the Harvard degree would open up.

jj4211 ,

Every time I try, I get no. AI overview for the memed query, despite getting them for others.

I’m assuming Google is being very aggressive is disabling AI overview for well known embarrassing results as they get widely known.

jj4211 ,

1808142… I’m practically a boomer with that.

jj4211 ,

Typically, people take fewer days off when “unlimited”, as they don’t feel they are owed any particular amount.

Greater Idaho movement: 13 counties in eastern Oregon have voted to secede and join Idaho (ktvz.com)

On Tuesday, voters in Crook County passed measure 7-86, which asked voters if they support negotiations to move the Oregon/Idaho border to include Crook County in Idaho. The measure is passing with 53% of the vote, and makes Crook County the 13th county in eastern Oregon to pass a Greater Idaho measure.

jj4211 ,

Ah didn’t bother to look it up, thanks for the clarification.

Though the congressional seats will be a wash, since I’m sure the existing districts already are red.

jj4211 ,

To the extent they contribute to Oregon’s electoral votes, they would then contribute to Idaho. The fact they are relatively lower population can still move the votes. Have a hard time digging up nice easy data, but they have 8 votes today and even a relative minority of voters going could change that from 8 votes all for democrats to 2 or 3 votes for republican. As someone else said, rinse and repeat for Washington state. Then, off to take part of california to make Nevada a sure thing for republicans and give nevada more votes. Also probably poking all over to erode blue states, carving out some of viginia between kentucky and west viginia, and illinois, colorado, and minnesota are also ripe targets. So Republicans can free up some of those electoral votes that are buried under blue, and press an advantage where they already overcome the popular vote with electoral votes a lot of time.

This is a strategy that won’t work for democrats, as the democratic regions in red states tend to be surrounded by a sea of red, with no logical way to ‘free’ those votes for the benefit of the democrats. They would instead have to push for proportional electoral college votes within their states or to go popular vote nationwide.

So on the one hand, the secession strategy shouldn’t work, as it is explicitly unconstitutional, but the GOP would really want it to happen, and they might be able to make it so. The converse strategies may be constitutional, but would require people to approve of it that would be explicitly undermined by it.

jj4211 ,

While that is technically true, Microsoft didn’t really make any effort to correct the misunderstanding, despite it being a widely reported story in tech.

I suspect they had a legitimate faction that was going to say “rolling release” and so they let it go.

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