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TropicalDingdong

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‘The greatest thinker you’ve never heard of’: expert who explained Hitler’s rise is finally in the spotlight (www.theguardian.com)

After fleeing Hitler, brilliant Jewish economist Karl Polanyi was never welcomed by the British. Now, for the first time in 80 years, his masterwork The Great Transformation has been be published in the UK

TropicalDingdong ,

Polanyi had observed that, in the 1930s, wealthy Germans who saw the Nazi party as a “battering ram” against trade unions and socialists were persuaded to overlook Hitler’s antisemitism because it allowed the market system to flourish, Dale said. “In the same way that a lot of Americans who find Trump distasteful today will still vote for him, a lot of German elites said to themselves: we’re quite happy funding Hitler because his street fighters will help crush the trade unions, so that we can make more profits.”

They got the metaphor wrong. Billionaires see Trump as a battering ram to break what remains of the US social support system and claim victory over the ashes.

TropicalDingdong ,

Trumps social messaging is very balkanized. Like, what is Biden gonna buy on Truth.social?

This race is shaping up to be one of the dumbest of all time.

TropicalDingdong ,

Imagine walking down the aisle, normal day, no thoughts about the prices or any of that.

Then one day you walk down the aisle but this time you forgot your phone in the car.

Different prices. Then some one walks is coming close from the other end of the aisle. The price changes. They walk past, nonplussed. A few seconds later, it switches back.

TropicalDingdong ,

Also, the first time the price of something rises in the 5 minutes it takes for me to get my shopping done and get to the checkout, I’m taking a shit on the floor.

I’m with you I’m saving my dump truck load for the conveyor belt at the register.

TropicalDingdong ,

I don’t know where the Devil’s staircase leads, but I’m taking it.

TropicalDingdong ,

Ok. I will now seriously consider moving over to proton. I can’t trust a for-profit buisness to stay true to its mission. However, Open-AI has shown that I can’t blindly trust a non-profit to do so as well, but its ‘towards’ being able to trust.

TropicalDingdong ,

This scene smells like a mixture of stale Budlight and PowerBait.

TropicalDingdong ,

If they don’t individually own the property but pay for upkeep and there is no landlord… that’s a housing cooperative, no?

Squatter mansion.

TropicalDingdong ,

Because its pleasurable to believe in “secret knowledge”, that you are in the knowing group, and everyone else is the “out group”.

GME, and its associated cult.

Christians and Zionists.

Qanon.

Its all basically the same at its roots, which is that humans take pleasure in a good story, and rather than believe what we think is most likely, we more often choose to believe that which makes us feel special.

TropicalDingdong ,

There and better and worse variants, but the fundamental issue I’m identifying is the tendency to want to believe ‘good stories’. I think it’s a profoundly human flaw, related to our evolution and history as a species that tells stories to transmit information. We believe a good story. It’s pleasurable to lose yourself in story. You remember good stories. But a story being ‘good’ has little and less to do with it being true.

While we’re discussing this issue in the light of conspiracy theories with no basis, I think the flaw extends to all domains of human life where communication and evaluation are necessary.

TropicalDingdong ,

this is why we have to invest in things like pipeline now

Microsoft in damage-control mode, says it will prioritize security over AI (arstechnica.com)

Microsoft is pivoting its company culture to make security a top priority, President Brad Smith testified to Congress on Thursday, promising that security will be “more important even than the company’s work on artificial intelligence.”...

TropicalDingdong ,

Scientists in the room who have to base their experiments off other peoples data and results:

https://lemmy.world/pictrs/image/4a263582-8041-4f4c-8202-4c8a06b2403b.png

Tongue in cheek but this is actually giving me particular headache because of some results (not mine) that should have never been published.

TropicalDingdong ,

That or dumb money is just dumb, and if the cost of money is free, you can just guess at things that might work with thousands of monkeys hitting typewriters.

TropicalDingdong ,

People will accept anything to not be inconvenienced in a purely consumer society.

TropicalDingdong ,

Bruh, in Idiocracy, they at least wanted to do the right thing, even if they were too dumb to do so.

TropicalDingdong ,

I mean, I think we’ve been saying this since November.

TropicalDingdong ,

Could you get a couple whistles at ‘come online’ at various speeds?

You might need some funnels to concentrate the air, but if you might be able to tune it so it works in the lower speed, 0-30 range.

Otherwise, if you can could also get a Raspy and a gyroscope to play them as recordings when certain tilt requirements are met.

TropicalDingdong ,

Could you imagine if Israel had to pay for the actions of its military on their own?

TropicalDingdong ,

Video of it working:

dailymail.co.uk/…/Video-Turkish-police-arrest-stu…

I’m more interested to know how they got caught. It sounds like they weren’t confident enough to keep their cool.

TropicalDingdong ,

Could have began investigation of these things on day 1 of the new administration/ congress.

TropicalDingdong ,

That’s a good question. Anecdotally, when the fight isn’t there, grass roots org tend to diffuse and diminish. I mean look at BLM and the networks that were present in 2020 versus 2021. Once Biden was in office and Trump wasn’t there as opposition, the movement practically evaporated. I’m not sure anecdotes are sufficient for these modern times however. I know that groups like Patriot Front have expressed difficulties recruiting. It also might be a “we didn’t look as carefully as we did previously” kind of monitoring bias.

There are mutual aid groups that were doing extensive monitoring in 2019-2022. I couldn’t speak to whats happened, but I would generally tend to trust the numbers being put out without better information.

TropicalDingdong ,

I mean jeeze why not just tell people to drink bleach while you are at it. /s

TropicalDingdong ,

Lets see if they show up for the election. If so, this is evidence for the effectiveness of Macrons gambit.

TropicalDingdong ,

I mean I think this represents the core of Macrons strategy. Force the issue. Don’t wait. Get people emotionally worked up and do so quickly. Don’t wait for things to cool off.

TropicalDingdong ,

Yes, yesterday. There are a wide range of views as to this being a good idea or not.

TropicalDingdong ,

It definitely fits the bill of the “bold move Cotton” meme template.

I personally side with WWII General Pattons quote on planning:

"“A good plan, violently executed now, is better than a perfect plan next week.”

Too many political leaders think they have until next week to figure out how to deal with the rising tide of fascism globally. They don’t. If Macron thinks he’s got the nuts or at least a hand that plays, I say push the chips. Because next week you won’t have a stronger position.

TropicalDingdong ,

Except that we actually have approval ratings and polls for about 90 years of elections. From which we can build the appropriate counter-factuals to actually create a statistic because an approval rating is a continuous variable, not a discrete variable. An approval rating of 51% is directly comparable to an approval rating of 31%, and all Presidents ‘have’ this condition, even if it went unmeasured. I also have a sufficient range of variation to build the negative case example because I have presidents and candidates across the range of variation observed in the condition, and variation in the outcome: winning an election.

Being a felon is also a condition, but 100% of the data we have is “not a felon”. And we have no variation in the observed outcome. Some non-felons won, some non-felons lost. We’re not testing if they are a felon or not, we’re testing if they win the election or not.

Look I get that this is beyond you, but you really aren’t making the point you think you are here. Also, you are on the wrong side of the fallacy the comic is presenting. I’m not trying to interpret being a felon has on becoming president, you are. I’m interested in what the polling data has to say about the probability of winning, which is a statistically and scientifically grounded thing to do.

You mostly seem like you have an axe to grind because Biden is losing the election for you. I’m sorry for that.

TropicalDingdong ,

Obama was pretty firmly in the internet age, and left office in his second term with an approval rating of 55%.

TropicalDingdong ,

Biden, 37%

Trump, 43%

All that matters.

TropicalDingdong ,

All presidents have a ‘height’ measurement, so we can make a probability distribution and look at the likelihood of an incumbent winning based on their height.

…osu.edu/…/does-height-make-right-u-s-presidents-…

And because its continuous, we can extend that to Presidents whose heights haven’t previously been observed.

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