I seem to recall that arresting Gerasimov during a visit to Rostov-on-Don was part if the plan, and one of the generals next in line was friendly to Wagner so it would’ve created division in the ranks. But Shoigu got tipped off, the general backed out, and Prigozhin eventually realized without military backing he’d eventually lose
It looks like they’re actually telling the truth this time. For the record Kursk is 80km from the border. If the Ukrainians even manage to touch Kursk it’ll be a big deal. So the Kremlin is probably trying to buy a little credibility so they can deny that as long as possible.
I would assume not much, it’s an incursion. Meaning they don’t have the infrastructure to ship it back. If they find any caches, they probably would take what they can use quickly, and destroy the rest.
That all makes sense. I saw today they have captured at least one tank which is nice.
They’ve penetrated two prepared defence lines which they may want to hunker down in later so shipping ammo back to those would be less hassle.
There’s some talk of them potentially holding that gas plant to force Russia to destroy it to dislodge them too, cutting off gas to Hungary while making Russia the one that does it. Muuuaahahaha.
The whole thing is fascinating. Really looking forward to the Perun video on it which will hopefully be next week.
Of course the narrative will be ‘Ukraine forced our hand.’ but everyone, of course, will know better.
Actually, I hadn’t thought about that aspect of the incursion. They can potentially disrupt a large amount facilities that give them the remaining export abilities they still have.
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