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ArbitraryValue ,

Wow that’s a long poll. I got to 100 questions before I stopped counting, and “who would you vote for” is in the second half. Did they ask every respondent all the questions?

AbidanYre ,

I’m not sure the country is ready for a gay VP, but my god Pete would destroy JD in the debate.

nifty ,
@nifty@lemmy.world avatar

This is awesome, the momentum looks like it’s going to keep up! The +11 point lead in MI is nothing to doubt, let’s go President Harris!

I hope her campaign keeps reminding voters everywhere of project 2025, and exactly how it’s going to negatively impact their lives.

ralphio ,

Overall the polls have been encouraging for her, but that MI one look really wrong. 538 has her about down a point on average.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/michigan/

dogsnest ,
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

True story: half the country doesn’t even know she’s in yet.
Had to tell 3 peeps at dinner yesterday what’s up.
I’m not alone.

MeekerThanBeaker ,

I get how there are people who don’t follow politics, but man… how do you avoid news like this?

I mean, technically, she’s not in until the convention… but you would think it would be common knowledge unless you’re a recluse or a child who doesn’t know most people by name.

dogsnest ,
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

Someone more famous than I (Meryl Streep?) once suggested that upon graduation, one should be mandated to drive a taxi for a year, just to see what it’s “really like” out there.
You’ll have to take my word for it, she’s so right.

People still talk about litter boxes in schools for the furries - with a phone attached to their palms 24/7 that’ll PROVE to them in seconds that it never happened…and, yet…

someguy3 ,

So they didn’t know “she’s in” but did they know Biden dropped out?

dogsnest ,
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

“Who?”

– them

someguy3 ,

They don’t know who Biden is?

dogsnest ,
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

sorry,

“/s”

someguy3 ,

… You started off with a supposed true story that you want people to believe, but somewhere it turned to sarcasm. I’m not sure what to believe anymore.

dogsnest ,
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

The true story is that people, except the reader, you, and I, are fucking ignorant, illiterate, and stupid.

That applies to my first statement, my reply to you, and the subsequent replies.

WalrusDragonOnABike ,

Do they need to? She’s not over 80 and she’s not Trump.

Are you in a swing state?

BarbecueCowboy ,

That does kind of explain a lot.

I know we’re all in our own occasionally overlapping echo chambers, but the betting odds and prediction markets still tend to favor Trump, some of the larger ones pretty heavily. It’s very disconnected from the narrative I’ve been seeing about Kamala here and elsewhere, I hope that narrative is right, but still doesn’t line up.

ImADifferentBird ,
@ImADifferentBird@lemmy.blahaj.zone avatar

We’re a week into Kamala’s candidacy. Things are going to change around very quickly.

For now, this is a promising sign, but it doesn’t mean Trump is done. There’s still a long way to go until November.

dogsnest ,
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

2 weeks, and she’s erased polling deficits!

is drooling in fear through their “tooths”, like Pavlov’s dog, bc they’re hearing the Ding! Ding! Ding! from the electorate.

TrickDacy ,

Why do I keep seeing people putting stock in “betting markets”? … Somehow professional gamblers became respected replacements for polls some and I do not get it

nickhammes ,

I think the justification is that people will be more honest/rational when betting their own money.

It’s probably less irrational than stock markets, since there’s a very clear time horizon people are betting on, and data like polls can be pretty good. But since they’re looking at essentially the same data as pundits, it’s unsurprising they tend to do about as well.

xmunk ,

Those margins are all uncomfortably close - “wipes out” is needlessly bombastic.

dave881 ,

I think that “wipes out” here is referring to the lead that Trump had in the polls previously. All the states went from a clear lead for Trump over Biden, to basically even, with one exception showing a clear lead.

I think that it suggests a competitive race, rather than one side coasting to victory. It is hard to draw concrete conclusions still, but the clear lead is definitely gone

someguy3 ,

I think it was John Stewart said we’re happy to have gone from Trump lead to statistical tie.

return2ozma OP ,
@return2ozma@lemmy.world avatar

https://lemmy.world/pictrs/image/5ca7069d-6ed8-4b41-828e-0a19a9a512d1.jpeg

AbidanYre ,

Michigan fucking loves her. Damn.

expatriado ,

also, Trump did nothing for them

Rhaedas ,

What state could claim he did something for them? That this once again is a close race constantly boggled my mind.

expatriado ,

state of dispair

dogsnest ,
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

State of deez nutz.

Phenomephrene ,
@Phenomephrene@thebrainbin.org avatar

Ask Wisconsin how that Foxconn contract he helped secure for them turned out.

(For those not familiar, and disinclined to investigate further, the answer is "Not great.")

dogsnest , (edited )
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

A picture = 1K words:

https://lemmy.world/pictrs/image/c8cd5d96-a41f-4f33-8026-5bf5e48f715a.png

EmpathicVagrant ,

Is there a source or context? Otherwise this is just a random graphic

dogsnest ,
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

It’s simply a reply, no more, no less.

However, I never like to leave an empty belly:

Sauce

Socsa ,

That’s 271 baby

dogsnest ,
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

Talk dirty to me.

MeekerThanBeaker ,

Also, Trump’s a rapist, convicted felon, and just plain weird.

dogsnest ,
@dogsnest@lemmy.world avatar

I’m glad you went easy on the lying treasonous cowardly pedophile traitor, Fatty McFelon.
Warms me heart.

ThePantser ,
@ThePantser@lemmy.world avatar

Yes, yes we do. We love women leaders, we keep voting for them.

Beaver ,
@Beaver@lemmy.ca avatar

Kamala Harris is going to wipe the floor with Trump.

Socsa ,

Get your shit together PA. Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania is game over.

kn0wmad1c ,
@kn0wmad1c@programming.dev avatar

Did they only take polls in Pittsburgh?

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