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OldWoodFrame ,

One case isn’t necessarily scary. One person getting a version of avian flu that can spread bird-to-human is rough for that person but the concerning part is if that flu then mutates to spread human-to-human.

jeffw OP ,
@jeffw@lemmy.world avatar

Every time it gets to a human, we have a higher chance of human-to -human transmission though. But yeah, 1 case isn’t really scary, but still notable.

jordanlund ,
@jordanlund@lemmy.world avatar

Pandemic 2: Electric Boogaloo!

How is Madagascar looking right now?

muntedcrocodile ,
@muntedcrocodile@lemm.ee avatar

Well fuck is it time for round 2 of shutting down the world? What’s the fatality rates by age group?

TransplantedSconie ,

In 2008, the official WHO estimate for the case-fatality rate for the outbreak of H5N1 avian influenza was approximately 60%.

Canadians said it probably more like 14-30%.

Don’t worry about shutting down the country. The amount of corpses in the roads will do it for us.

FilterItOut ,

So you’re saying that if we can get a vaccine made, we may not have to put up with the anti-vaxxers for much longer? What do you want to bet they’ll have ‘anti-shutdown parties’ or something similarly foolish?

Hobbes ,

We can dream.

pearsaltchocolatebar ,

So it’s going to be a repeat of the Spanish Influenza. Awesome

massacre ,

Avian Flu, Pandemic Boogaloo

TransplantedSconie ,

Spanish Flu (should be called Kansas Flu because that’s where the first case was reported), killed .6% of the population in the US. Covid was .15 %

This would be magnitudes higher.

RememberTheApollo_ ,

Losing ~20 million would have a significant economic impact. That would be like losing 2 NYC or 2 Dallas/Ft. Worth from the country. Considering that the group (right wing lower middle class) that was determined to not follow mitigation efforts or push others to work without them we’d lose a lot of workers in the transportation and service industries, particularly in the south.

federatingIsTooHard ,
@federatingIsTooHard@lemmy.world avatar

That would be like losing 2 NYC or 2 Dallas/Ft. Worth from the country.

or just one nyc and one dallas/ft worth

protist ,

It’s important to recognize this virus is not new and has been circulating the world while being studied for years. Over the past 20 years, less than 900 cases have been identified in humans worldwide, mostly in southeast Asia, and with rare exception it was someone who caught it from an animal but who didn’t transmit it to other humans.

While there’s always a chance H5N1 could mutate to become more transmissible between humans, right now there’s no reason to think that. If it did, god help us. But it hasn’t. Yet.

TheWeirdestCunt ,

The scary part is that it has been spreading between mammals though, most instances have been between sea mammals like seals but now it looks like it’s spreading between other mammals too

protist ,

I did read that…it looks like it killed a bunch of seals, but cows seem to barely be affected. Well I hope they’re including this strain in this year’s flu vaccine …

pearsaltchocolatebar ,

Good thing is that mrna should work on it too. That’s one good thing that came out of covid.

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