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GerPrimus , to lemmyshitpost in Expertise

Solution: don’t give a fck on the brain farts of random people.

UnderpantsWeevil ,
@UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world avatar
bananabenana , to lemmyshitpost in Expertise

Hasn’t read the article methods but still decided to comment: cOrReLaTiOn dOeSn’t eQuAl cAuSaTiOn

Track_Shovel OP ,

All my literal this

whalebiologist ,

this is the way doggo puppers, hecking upboats to the left

callouscomic ,

herp doesn’t imply derp

UnderpantsWeevil ,
@UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world avatar

xkcd.com/552/

Correlation doesn’t imply causation, but it does waggle its eyebrows suggestively and gesture furtively while mouthing ‘look over there’.

faintbeep ,

There’s a generation of internet debate guys who seem convinced that correlation disproves causation

Maggoty ,

Yeah but also just publishing correlation is a shitty practice. That’s supposed to be a hint to look deeper, not the end conclusion.

spujb , to lemmyshitpost in Expertise

guy on lemmy “this was already obvious, why don’t they try studying something actually useful”

UnderpantsWeevil , (edited )
@UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world avatar

This, but to some degree, unironically. If studies aren’t reproducible (or deemed worthy of reproduction) then there’s definitely a disconnect between the folks handing out research assignments and the folks engineering applicable solutions to scientific problems.

That goes two ways. You could be a guy who successfully formulates a mathematical model to support the existence of Neutrinos and face a funding board that has no interest in building a LHC. That’s arguably a problem of malinvestment within the scientific community. Or you could be a guy who successfully formulates a mathematical model for a new kind of mouse trap that’s 10% less efficient than traditional mouse traps. That’s more of a university research assignment problem. Or you could have a researcher who claims he’s the only one who can do a particular thing, because he’s got the magic touch. If the research is unfalsifiable by design, that’s an entirely new kind of problem.

spujb , (edited )

i think you bring up valid instances where this is fair.

but i think i’m speaking to the very obvious and important ones that are worthy of reproduction. like i’ve seen articles be like “these corporations are responsible for 99% of climate change” or something

and the comments will be like “duh we knew that”

which true, but not empirically. being able to cite data from actual research from professionals is so valuable and far better than anecdotes or guesses. edit: and also informs meaningful policy.

that said, is there some way for a layperson like me to identify when research is not deemed worthy of reproduction? or is it a lost cause

UnderpantsWeevil ,
@UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world avatar

which true, but not empirically. being able to cite data from actual research from professionals is so valuable and far better than anecdotes or guesses.

While its certainly helpful to get the raw numbers down on paper, you don’t need a filing cabinet full of documents to recognize that fossil fuel consuming electricity producers and airliners and manufacturing centers the but-for cause of climate change. Fossil Fuel goes in. Carbon emissions come out.

We can definitely use a more meticulous bit of R&D to find exactly where and when these emissions peak, in order to reduce total emissions without sacrificing an abundance of economic productivity. But “did you know burning the fuel makes the pollution?” isn’t a shocking conclusion.

Where things get annoying (and where in-depth research genuinely comes in handy) is in the functional policy that follows this recognition. Once you know a widget factory in China is 10x less efficient than its counterpart in the US, you can formulate a trade law to limit imports contingent on reform. But as soon as you start impacting some retailer’s bottom line, you get some screamer ad “Congressman Greenpeace Wants To Make Your Widgets 10x as Expensive to Save The Stupid Spotted Owl! In Truth it is the Spotted Owl that produces all the emissions! Kill the Spotted Owl!” financed by the worst people you know.

And that’s when you get some facebook troll group (or marketing team or bot army) spamming “Spotted Owl Farts Killed The Environment While Joe Brandon Clapped!!!” And then it becomes orthodoxy in the denialist community such that you’ve got Sunday Morning talk shows with people arguing over Spotted Owl emissions rather than trade law.

is there some way for a layperson like me to identify when research is not deemed worthy of reproduction?

Not practically, no. As soon as you’ve got that kind of info, you’re no longer a lay person.

At some level, you need a network of trust with someone who does know and does have a serious take on this. And that network is going to be informed by who you already trust and listen to. And that’s going to be informed by who they trust and listen to.

That’s the real terror of the modern mass media system. We’ve corrupted so much of our information stream that its genuinely hard to find a serious media venue that’s not been gobbled up by a for-profit marketing firm.

spujb ,

So what’s the harm of doing research on subjects with “obvious” no-surprise conclusions? The basic reality that it provides foundation for meaningful policy should be enough to justify it, no?

You kind of lost me with your spotted owl hypothetical? Not disagreeing I just genuinely got lost there was a lot if layers to it lol.

And thanks for the details on identifying problematic research as a layperson. Good to know, even if it’s depressing.

Twista713 ,

Anything could have enough significance to warrant further study. If it has societal implications or environmental concerns, it could be deemed worthy. I’ve read some guidelines on how to read scientific papers, but don’t have the link on me. The scientists are supposed to list their biases, but it’s kind of on the honor system, I think.

niktemadur , (edited ) to lemmyshitpost in Expertise

If after all that preparation, your pride can be pierced and wounded by one of myriad neckbeards or Karens on twatter, you might need to let go a little bit.

usualsuspect191 , to lemmyshitpost in Expertise

Maybe that guy was just one of the people who worked on one of the 19 other studies that didn’t publish because of the negative result

orphiebaby , to lemmyshitpost in Bologna cup

c/stupidfood, please

readthemessage , to lemmyshitpost in Bologna cup

I love it!

blahsay , to lemmyshitpost in Bologna cup

Cursed

HiddenLayer5 , to lemmyshitpost in Expertise

Dunning Kruger curve. The people who know the least about a topic speak the most confidently about it.

velvetThunder ,

Don’t think it’s exactly Dunning Kruger. We all think about the curve of gathered knowledge and perceived knowledge.

But they didn’t even start to gather knowledge, they just respond with something that sounds truthful and fits their world view in order to feel better without doing anything.

But hey maybe that’s just my Dunning Kruger talking.

Hadriscus ,

I see this name everywhere these days. I think… I’m having a Baader-Meinhof about Dunning-Kruger

TimewornTraveler ,

Nice we’re keeping the Reddit tradition of just repeating “Dunning Kruger Dunning Kruger Dunning Kruger” every time we see disagreement

TrickDacy , to lemmyshitpost in Expertise

Guy on internet: “this study is flawed in the following ways [proceeds to list shit they thought of in 25 seconds that may in no way matter, but since they thought of it, it totally disqualifies any and all science which may not agree with the armchair brain farts]”

UnderpantsWeevil , to lemmyshitpost in Bologna cup
@UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world avatar

Pocketing this for April 1st

Bleach7297 ,
@Bleach7297@lemmy.ca avatar

That’s still a ways off, you’ll ruin your pants.

HeyThisIsntTheYMCA ,
@HeyThisIsntTheYMCA@lemmy.world avatar

I shat them years ago they’re perfect for this.

p1mrx , to lemmyshitpost in Bologna cup

Seems risky, because people don’t expect chocolate to need refrigeration.

UnderpantsWeevil ,
@UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world avatar

Found the guy who isn’t from Arizona

drasglaf , (edited ) to lemmyshitpost in Good luck out there
@drasglaf@sh.itjust.works avatar

The first time I rode a bike, I fell off a (short) cliff.

The second time, I crashed against a tree.

The third time I ran over some junkie who was daydreaming.

I think it’s best if I don’t drive anything with wheels.

Edit: Typo.

gedaliyah , to lemmyshitpost in Bologna cup
@gedaliyah@lemmy.world avatar

ATBGE

JoShmoe , to lemmyshitpost in Expertise

Its hard to trust self-validation

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