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CookieJarObserver ,
@CookieJarObserver@sh.itjust.works avatar

And he is right.

demesisx ,
@demesisx@infosec.pub avatar

Yes. Glorified tape recorders that can provide assistance and instruction in certain domains that is very useful beyond what a simple tape recorder could ever provide.

TropicalDingdong ,

Yes. Glorified tape recorders that can provide assistance and instruction in certain domains that is very useful beyond what a simple tape recorder could ever provide.

I think a good analogue is the invention of the typewriter or the digital calculator. Its not like its something that hadn’t been conceived of or that we didn’t have correlatives for. Is it revolutionary? Yes, the world will change (has changed) because of it. But the really big deal is that this puts a big bright signpost of how things will go far off into the future. The typewriter led to the digital typewriter. The digital typewriter showed the demand for personal business machines like the first apples.

Its not just about where were at (and to be clear, I am firmly in the ‘this changed the world camp’. I realize not everyone holds that view; but as a daily user/ builder, its my strong opinion that the world changed with the release of chatgpt, even if you can’t tell yet.), the broader point is about where we’re going.

The dismissiveness I’ve seen around this tech is frankly, hilarious. I get that its sporting to be a curmudgeon, but to dismiss this technology will be to have completely missed what will be one of the most influential human technologies to have been invented. Is this general intelligence? To keep pretending it has to be AGI or nothing is to miss the entire damn point. And this goal post shifting is how the frog gets slowly boiled.

deranger ,

I reckon it’s somewhere in between. I really don’t think it’s going to be the revolution they pitched, or some feared. It’s also not going to be completely dismissed.

I was very excited when I started to play with various AI tools, then about two weeks in I realized how limited they are and how they need a lot of human input and editing to produce a good output. There’s a ton of hype and it’s had little impact on the regular persons life.

Biggest application of AI I’ve seen to date? Making presidents talk about weed, etc.

TropicalDingdong ,

I reckon it’s somewhere in between. I really don’t think it’s going to be the revolution they pitched, or some feared. It’s also not going to be completely dismissed.

Do you use it regularly or develop ML/ AI applications?

ekky43 ,

Yes. I wrote my masters in engineering about MLAI (before chatgpt and YOLO became popular and viable), and am also currently working with multi-object detection and tracking using MLAI.

It’s not gonna be like the invention of the modern computer, but it’s probably gonna reach about the same level as Google, or the electronic typing machine.

deranger ,

I use some image generation tools and LLMs.

I think it’s a safe bet to estimate it will work out to be somewhere in the middle of the two extremes. I don’t think AI/ML is going to be worthless, but I also don’t think it’s going to do all these terrible things people are afraid of. It will find its applications and be another tool we have.

Meowoem ,

I find it fascinating how different sections of society see the tech totally differently, a lot of people seem to think because it can’t do everything it can do nothing. I’ve been fascinated by ai for decades so to have finally cracked language comprehension feels like huge news because it opens so many other doors - especially in human usability of new tools.

We’re going to see a huge shift in how we use technology, I don’t think it will be long before we’re used to telling the computer what we want it to do - organising pictures, sorting inventory in a game, finding products in shops… Being able to actually tell it ‘i want a plug for my bath’ and not being offered electrical plugs, even being told ‘there are three main types as seen here, you will need to know the size of your plug hole to ensure the correct fit’

As the technology refines we’ll see it get increasingly reliable for things like legal and medical knowledge, even if it’s just referring people to doctors it could save a huge amount of lives.

It’s absolutely going to have as much effect on our lives as the internet’s development did, but I think a lot of people forget how significant that really was.

TropicalDingdong ,

I agree. I also think sending the request “Here is an example of a bluetooth driver for linux. It isn’t working any more be cause of a kernal update (available here). Please update the driver and test it please. You have access to the port and there is a bluetooth device available for connection. Please develop a solution, test it, write a unit test, and make commits along the way (with comments please). Also, if you have any issues, email me at [email protected], and I’ll hop back online to help you. Otherwise, keep working until you are finished and have a working driver.”

Are we there yet? No, I’ve tried some of the recursive implementations and I’m yet to have them generate something completely functional. But there is a clear path from the current technology to that implementation. Its inevitable.

whatisallthis ,

Well it’s like a super tape recorder that can play back anything anyone has ever said on the internet.

SpaceNoodle , (edited )

But altered almost imperceptibly such that it’s entirely incorrect.

kinsnik ,

yeah, a “tape recorder” that adapts to what you ask… if there was a tape recorder before where i could put the docs i written and get recommendations on how to improve my style and organization, i missed it

Bishma ,
@Bishma@discuss.tchncs.de avatar

I call them glorified spread sheets, but I see the correlation to recorders. LLMs, like most “AIs” before them, are just new ways to do line of best fit analysis.

feedum_sneedson ,

That’s fine. Glorify those spreadsheets. It’s a pretty major thing to have cracked.

Bishma ,
@Bishma@discuss.tchncs.de avatar

It is. The tokenization and intent processing are the thing that impress me most. I’ve been joking since the 90’s that the most impressive technological innovation shown on Star Trek TNG was computers that understand the intent of instructions. Now we have that… mostly.

Prager_U ,

To counter the grandiose claims that present-day LLMs are almost AGI, people go too far in the opposite direction. Dismissing it as being only “line of best fit analysis” fails to recognize the power, significance, and difficulty of extracting meaningful insights and capabilities from data.

Aside from the fact that many modern theories in human cognitive science are actually deeply related to statistical analysis and machine learning (such as embodied cognition, Bayesian predictive coding, and connectionism), referring to it as a “line” of best fit is disingenuous because it downplays the important fact that the relationships found in these data are not lines, but rather highly non-linear high-dimensional manifolds. The development of techniques to efficiently discover these relationships in giant datasets is genuinely a HUGE achievement in humanity’s mastery of the sciences, as they’ve allowed us to create programs for things it would be impossible to write out explicitly as a classical program. In particular, our current ability to create classifiers and generators for unstructured data like images would have been unimaginable a couple of decades ago, yet we’ve already begun to take it for granted.

So while it’s important to temper expectations that we are a long way from ever seeing anything resembling AGI as it’s typically conceived of, oversimplifying all neural models as being “just” line fitting blinds you to the true power and generality that such a framework of manifold learning through optimization represents - as it relates to information theory, energy and entropy in the brain, engineering applications, and the nature of knowledge itself.

Bishma , (edited )
@Bishma@discuss.tchncs.de avatar

Ok, it’s a best fit line on an n-dimentional matrix querying a graphdb ;)

My only point is that this isn’t AGI and too many people still fail to recognize that. Now people are becoming disillusioned with it because they’re realizing it isn’t actually creative. It’s still still just a fancy comparison engine. That’s not not world changing, but it’s also not Data for Star Trek

Prager_U ,

I get that, but what I’m saying is that calling deep learning “just fancy comparison engine” frames the concept in an unnecessarily pessimistic and sneery way. It’s more illuminating to look at the considerable mileage that “just pattern matching” yields, not only for the practical engineering applications, but for the cognitive scientist and theoretician.

Furthermore, what constitutes being “actually creative”? Consider DeepMind’s AlphaGo Zero model:

Mok Jin-seok, who directs the South Korean national Go team, said the Go world has already been imitating the playing styles of previous versions of AlphaGo and creating new ideas from them, and he is hopeful that new ideas will come out from AlphaGo Zero. Mok also added that general trends in the Go world are now being influenced by AlphaGo’s playing style.

Professional Go players and champions concede that the model developed novel styles and strategies that now influence how humans approach the game. If that can’t be considered a true spark of creativity, what can?

jogai_san ,

He’s Out Of Line But He’s Right

HellAwaits ,

You’re out of line. You’re out, Norman.

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