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stinerman ,
@stinerman@midwest.social avatar

This will help you a bit to answer your own question: www.270towin.comYou can play with scenarios there.

how much does she have to win by to flip the electoral college to her side?

This misunderstands how our elections work. If you win a state by one vote (offer not valid in Nebraska and Maine), you get all that state’s electoral votes. If you flip several thousand votes in a few states, Trump wins the 2020 election even though Biden had around 7,000,000 more in the popular vote total. Also, if you’re from the UK, Americans are a little idiosyncratic in their voting. A good deal of people do the equivalent of voting for a Tory even if they wanted Labour in power. It’s called vote splitting, and it’s generally a terrible idea.

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