Pons_Aelius , 11 months ago

China cannot win against Taiwan. (win = gaining control of the nation with its chip fabs still operational)

But that will not stop them from trying.

China is falling off a demographic cliff thanks to two generations of the one child policy. In a decade it will not have enough fighting age citizens to even attempt it.

But Xi wants to be remembered as the great re-unifier of China and he turned 70 this year, so time is running out to do so.

The 21st National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will be held in 2027.

I expect China and Xi to force the issue before then.