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Anyone else feel like Trump has a much higher chance to win then Presidency than Kamala?

Idk, when you look at the entire picture, does Trump not have the far easier path to 270 this year? He only has to win 2 states (PA & GA) and that’s it, he wins. Kamala has to win at the minimum 3, and if she loses PA, it becomes even harder for her. Trump could just spend all of his money campaigning in those 2 states and get back in the White House. Yet these odds seem to disagree with me.

Am I trippin?

marcos ,

Looking from half-way around the world, Trump wining seemed very likely until Kamala became the candidate. And now no result seems more likely than the other.

Noodle07 ,

Same, it feels like there’s no way trump wins again now.

KingThrillgore ,
@KingThrillgore@lemmy.ml avatar

Nate Silver still has the EVs for Trump. Like he did in 2016. I’m making no illusions of the future. All my plans assume a Trump victory.

Unfortunately his models are paywalled so I cannot completely confirm this.


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