His butt fell out after getting railed by Putin too hard. This was compounded by an aggressive syphilis infection coupled with the fact that Putin shit everywhere (incontinence is a bitch) and there were further infections.
Kadyrov's death would create a power vacuum. While Kadyrov is alive, his control over the various groups of Chechnya means that they're united behind whatever he throws his weight behind - generally, Russian bootlicking. When he dies, there will be a massive power struggle.
the police state hasnt gone anywhere and moscow will just hand over the reigns to the next in line. i concede that it does make sense that the replacement might cause more tension between those in power, but i dont think that kadyrov himself is very important
There's not really a clear 'next-in-line'. Kadyrov has multiple sons, most of them young, and his leadership is based very heavily on the ties and agreements made with other Chechen groups, not organized, formal state institutions as we would recognize them. When he dies, all of that is up in the air - even the most bootlicking of them will be seeking to renegotiate on more favorable terms - and throwing their weight behind whoever promises that. Chechnya is not a 'normal' Russian republic. It's very much a special case.
Same! Finding out about this has actually helped my stress headache. Thanks, NCD! May God forgive us our sins and take us to Himself, but some of us faster than others. Amen.