I don’t have the information to know whether-or-not swapping out Biden is the right move. That’s a technical question that depends on data that I don’t have visibility into, dunno what voting preference is at a state level versus Trump.
But I will say this – if the Democrats are gonna pull the trigger and run someone else, they better do it really quickly if they intend to do so, or stick with Biden. Because any such potential candidate is going to already have their campaign period be very abbreviated.
Like, if they’re serious, I think they should set a date now, one not far down the road, and say that if they haven’t committed to someone else by that date, then they go with Biden. Otherwise, they run the risk of both killing Biden’s campaign and not giving the successor enough time to campaign. Like, this either needs to be done really soon or not happen and be permanently put to bed.