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evranch ,

Sadly, no. Your electric heater is 100% efficient, yes, but that thermal power plant is lucky to hit 50%, especially if it’s old tech which many are.

On the other hand, burning natural gas at the point of use can be done at 95% efficiency by a condensing boiler or furnace.

That’s not even taking into account transmission losses. With them in play, even a ground-source heat pump has higher emissions than a natural gas furnace.

The only way electrification of heating makes sense is to decarbonise the grid, which should be the first priority. Nuclear and hydro baseload with solar/wind peaking and elastic loads and load shedding to take advantage of the variable supply.

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