According to Wikipedia, there were 7 tied games in the last 8 years (2017 - 2023).
Those 7 games appeared in 5 out 8 seasons, which results in a chance of 62,5% to catch a draw within a season.
Or with 272 games per season, the draw chance per game is 0,3%. So no draw chance is 99.7%.
Hence you get a chance of 1-(99.7%^272) = 56% to catch at least one draw per season.
This assumes the 2023 season is finished (without a draw), which I think is wrong. So the odds for a draw could be slightly higher.