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UN Expert Warns Israel on Track to Exterminate Nearly Entire Gaza Population

“Reading the health experts, I am starting to think with horror that if it’s not stopped, Israel’s assault could end up exterminating almost the entire population in Gaza over the next couple of years,” Francesca Albanese, UN Special Rapporteur for Palestine, wrote on Friday on social media.

Albanese cited a recent report from University of Edinburgh global public health chair Devi Sridhar finding that the true death toll from Israel’s genocide could be estimated at 335,500 as of September.

Sridhar based this rough calculation off of an estimate by public health researchers published in The Lancet in July regarding typical indirect death counts from previous conflicts, citing research hailed as the gold standard in the field. At that time, the researchers estimated that the true death toll could be roughly 186,000, stemming from direct killings like bombings as well as Israel’s destruction of the health, food and sanitation systems in Gaza.

The death toll, then, could be between 15 and 20 percent of the population by the end of this year, Albanese said, in just over a year of Israel’s genocide. And, as Sridhar writes in her Guardian report, the calculation that she borrows from The Lancet editorial is highly conservative — meaning the death toll could be even higher than her 335,500 estimate.

ArbitraryValue , (edited )

The “gold standard in the field” is apparently to multiply the Hamas numbers by five. I’m not kidding. That’s where the 186,000 number comes from. This is low-effort bullshit.

Edit: Also this article is just wrong about what the 335,500 number is claimed to be. It is what you get if you extrapolate the 186,000 number to the end of the year, not to September.

CM400 ,

Sridhar based this rough calculation off of an estimate by public health researchers published in The Lancet in July regarding typical indirect death counts from previous conflicts, citing research hailed as the gold standard in the field.

This estimate includes people that haven’t died yet, but that die from causes that are attributable to the war.

ArbitraryValue ,

I understand that that’s the intent. The problem is the methodology, which is as I said just multiplication by five. Calling it a gold standard implies that there’s actually some sophisticated analysis going on, and there isn’t.

Krono ,

The official Hamas number only includes bodies that have been bagged and tagged. This requires 1) a full or partial body able to be positively identified and 2) a functioning healthcare system able to do the identification.

Do you ever wonder why the official Hamas death toll has been stuck at around 30k for many months now, despite the near-daily massacres of 50, 100, or even 200 Palestinians at a time?

ArbitraryValue ,

The official Hamas number is simply whatever Hamas says it is. There’s no methodology, no oversight, and no reason to assume that missing people are never counted as dead. I don’t think it’s total nonsense because it’s compatible with Israeli estimates of the number of Hamas combatants killed and a 2:1 ratio of civilian to combatant deaths which is in the typical range for urban warfare conducted by an army that is trying to reduce civilian casualties. However, I do think that it is an upper estimate.

With that said, if they know how many people died in these “near-daily massacres” then why wouldn’t they add them to the death toll? If they don’t know, then where are your numbers coming from? It doesn’t make sense.

Treczoks ,

Well, yes, that was the goal from the very beginning. Pol Pot would be so proud of Nethayaho.

teamevil ,

No shit people…that’s what genocide is… haven’t we been paying attention.

FelixCress ,

New holocaust. Fucking nazis, they never change.

Sundial ,

You know those headlines about some scientific study that was incredibly obvious? Like “Rich people live longer due to access to better healthcare”. I feel like this is one of those.

apfelwoiSchoppen ,
@apfelwoiSchoppen@lemmy.world avatar

They’ve been on that mission for nearly 70 years.

Cephalotrocity ,

Anti-zionism keeps on truckin though.

NoneOfUrBusiness ,

I mean... Yes?

lettruthout ,

Yes… for reasons.

SlopppyEngineer ,

The bigger the genocide, the bigger the “anti” becomes. It’s not a mystery.

MediaBiasFactChecker Bot ,

The Guardian - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)Information for The Guardian:
> MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: Medium - Factual Reporting: Mixed - United Kingdom
> Wikipedia about this source

TruthOut - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)Information for TruthOut:
> MBFC: Left - Credibility: Medium - Factual Reporting: Mixed - United States of America
> Wikipedia about this source

Search topics on Ground.Newshttps://truthout.org/articles/un-expert-warns-israel-on-track-to-exterminate-nearly-entire-gaza-population/
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/sep/05/scientists-death-disease-gaza-polio-vaccinations-israel
https://truthout.org/articles/researchers-estimate-true-gaza-death-toll-at-186000-or-more/

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