Yes, the Soviet union collapsed under a lot of internal pressure and strive. And when the Soviet army was overextended and the government could no longer control their Empire. Losing in Afghanistan showed internal forces that the bear was not unbeatable.
I think it is safe to say that the Russian empire is getting more than a bloody nose in Ukraine.
So in this case there will be plenty of parties that have a bone to pick with the Russian empire and see the Russian army is … well … Busy.