Maybe, but your faith that Putin’s power is absolute, that he is immune to being overthrown is just as flawed.
Why is his table so long? Why has he done several brutal purges of his personal guard? Why has he installed members of his personal guard to high ranking military posts?
These are the actions of a man who looks into a crystal ball and says “wow, getting crushed by a popular uprising is on the menu for me”
Recal how few rednecks it takes to storm a capital building. Recall the relative density of rednecks in Russia.
I’m glad that you have complete faith that an uprising couldn’t topple Putin’s regime. You should tell Putin, I think he would find incredible comfort in your expert analysis.
And you need to understand the how flat your words must fall on the ears of those who literally have participated in such an uprising as you brush off as impossible.
I agree with you that harming refugees is bad. That discussion sits in the domain of humanitarian ethics, something that I think we all have the prerequisite knowledge for, assuming we have the capacity for human empathy.
On the topic of uprising against a Russian leader, I think you need to accept that your armchair assessment has been informed by a significant amount of propeganda from either side, and that you might not be as much an authority as you might imagine yourself