Almost exactly, but not quite. Difference is a pair of twos is already the winning hand. The AK HAS to have one of the other aces or kings drop, or get a straight or a flush. Twos will win without any help.
Odds of deuces winning on an all in pre-flop are 52% to 48% against a big slick, but that’s exactly the type of odds that make sure casinos always make money gambling. “Not quite a coin flip”